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MLB Matchup

Angels @ Reds

Fri, Apr 10 10:45 PMGreat American Ball ParkApple TV

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
LAA +1.5·CIN -1.5
Moneyline
LAA +153·CIN -186
Total
9
Angels
Away
Angels
6-7
3-4 road
L
L
W
W
W
Reds
Home
Reds
8-5
3-3 home
L
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

PICK
Reds ML
-186· moderate risk
72%

Chase Burns' 0.82 ERA dwarfs Jack Kochanowicz's 4.66 ERA — a 3.84-run gap that is the single largest quantifiable edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per the methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jack Kochanowicz
LAA
Jack Kochanowicz
(1-0, 4.66)
4.66
ERA
Chase Burns
CIN
Chase Burns
(1-0, 0.82)
0.82
ERA

Batting

0.201
#29
AVG
0.208
#26
0.642
#25
OPS
0.617
#28
15
#5
HR
12
#9
51
#18
R
39
#30
47
#18
RBI
36
#30
6
#19
SB
12
#8

Pitching

3.80
#16
ERA
3.36
#9
1.410
#23
WHIP
1.290
#15
124
#4
K
112
#16
66
#28
BB
52
#20
4
#9
QS
4
#9
4
#10
SV
6
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

9.6
#8
K/9
8.5
#18
0.225
#11
OPP AVG
0.228
#13
0.673
#12
OPP OPS
0.685
#14
10
#6
HLD
13
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

6-7
Overall ATS
8-5
3-4
Away/Home ATS
3-3
0-0
As Favorite
1-1
6-7
As Underdog
7-4
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-1
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +1.5
Avg margin: -0.8
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: -0.7

Scoring

3.92
R/G
3.00
4.77
RA/G
3.69
-0.9
DIFF
-0.7

Injury Report

LAARobert StephensonRP
60-Day-IL
LAAAlek ManoahSP
15-Day-IL
LAAGrayson RodriguezSP
15-Day-IL
LAAKirby YatesRP
15-Day-IL
LAARyan JohnsonSP
15-Day-IL
LAAVaughn Grissom2B
10-Day-IL
LAABen JoyceRP
15-Day-IL
LAAAnthony Rendon3B
60-Day-IL
CINCaleb FergusonRP
15-Day-IL
CINNick LodoloSP
15-Day-IL
CINJose TrevinoC
10-Day-IL
CINConnor BurnsC
Day-To-Day
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINJosh StaumontRP
Day-To-Day
CINAlex YoungRP
Out
CINCarson SpiersSP
Out