Which MLB teams are best against the run line?

Our trends page ranks every MLB team by ATS (run line) win percentage, updated daily with home/away splits and favorite/underdog breakdowns.

Which MLB teams go over the most?

The O/U tab shows which teams hit the over most frequently this season, helping you spot total betting opportunities.

MLB Betting Trends

Run line records, over/under trends, and splits — 2026 season

Track every MLB team's run line record for the 2026 season, updated daily. See who's covering, which teams are bleeding money on the run line, and where the over/under value is hiding. Sort by home/away splits or last-10 trends to find today's edges.

Team
1ATL	36-17	64.2%34-19	61.0%25-16	75.0%9-3	+1.9
2TB	34-16	64.0%32-18	65.5%19-10	61.9%13-8	+0.8
3WSH	26-27	62.3%33-20	0.0%0-1	63.5%33-19	-0.3
4MIL	30-20	60.0%30-20	56.3%18-14	66.7%12-6	+1.3
5ARI	28-24	59.6%31-21	55.6%10-8	61.8%21-13	+0.1
6SD	31-20	58.8%30-21	50.0%12-12	66.7%18-9	+0.2
7STL	29-22	58.8%30-21	55.6%5-4	59.5%25-17	—
8CIN	27-25	57.7%30-22	52.9%9-8	60.0%21-14	-0.7
9CHW	26-25	56.9%29-22	14.3%1-6	63.6%28-16	-0.3
10CLE	32-23	56.4%31-24	44.8%13-16	69.2%18-8	+0.4
11MIN	26-27	54.7%29-24	27.3%3-8	61.9%26-16	+0.1
12ATH	26-26	53.8%28-24	20.0%3-12	67.6%25-12	-0.2
13COL	20-34	53.7%29-25	0.0%0-0	53.7%29-25	-1.2
14PIT	27-26	50.9%27-26	46.9%15-17	57.1%12-9	+0.4
15LAD	33-20	50.9%27-26	50.0%26-26	100.0%1-0	+2.0
16LAA	19-34	50.9%27-26	40.0%4-6	53.5%23-20	-1.2
17NYY	31-22	49.1%26-27	49.1%26-27	0.0%0-0	+1.3
18DET	20-33	47.2%25-28	37.9%11-18	58.3%14-10	-0.5
19TOR	25-28	47.2%25-28	46.9%15-17	47.6%10-11	-0.1
20TEX	24-27	47.1%24-27	32.0%8-17	61.5%16-10	+0.1
21MIA	25-29	44.4%24-30	40.0%10-15	48.3%14-15	-0.2
22BAL	23-29	44.2%23-29	37.9%11-18	52.2%12-11	-1.0
23HOU	23-31	42.6%23-31	26.3%5-14	51.4%18-17	-0.9
24SF	21-31	42.3%22-30	21.4%3-11	50.0%19-19	-1.0
25KC	22-31	41.5%22-31	32.1%9-19	52.0%13-12	-0.5
26CHC	29-24	39.6%21-32	33.3%13-26	57.1%8-6	+0.4
27BOS	22-30	38.5%20-32	36.1%13-23	43.8%7-9	-0.3
28NYM	22-31	37.7%20-33	30.0%12-28	61.5%8-5	-0.4
29SEA	25-29	35.2%19-35	36.0%18-32	25.0%1-3	+0.1
30PHI	26-27	32.1%17-36	33.3%14-28	27.3%3-8	-0.5

Understanding MLB ATS & Run Line Records

In baseball, ATS refers to the run line — typically set at -1.5 for the favorite and +1.5 for the underdog. A team covering the run line means the favorite won by 2+ runs or the underdog lost by 1 run or won outright. Because roughly 30% of MLB games are decided by exactly 1 run, the run line adds significant variance compared to moneyline betting. That is why our AI model focuses on moneyline picks for MLB — but ATS trends still reveal which teams are dominating games vs which are squeezing out close wins.

Key MLB Betting Trends to Watch

Home/Road ATS splits: MLB has the largest home-field advantage variance of any sport. Some teams are 10+ games better at home vs on the road.
Over/Under trends: Early-season unders dominate (cold weather, rusty bats). By June, overs take over as lineups heat up.
Last 10 ATS: Baseball teams streak. A team covering 8 of 10 often has a pitching staff on a hot run.
Favorite vs underdog ATS: Teams that cover as underdogs are the sharpest betting targets — plus money with a covering history.

Related Resources

MLB Matchups Today — pitcher matchups and head-to-head stats
MLB Picks Today — AI predictions for today's games
MLB Park Factors — how each ballpark affects scoring
NBA ATS Trends — basketball betting trends
NHL ATS Trends — hockey betting trends
Free Picks Today — today's best bets across all sports