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MLB Matchup

Astros @ Cubs

Fri, May 22 6:20 PMWrigley FieldApple TV
Final
HOU 4 - 2 CHC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
HOU +1.5·CHC -1.5
Moneyline
HOU +123·CHC -148
Total
7
Astros
Away
Astros
23-31
11-17 road
W
W
W
L
W
Cubs
Home
Cubs
29-24
18-11 home
L
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-144· moderate risk
68%

Chicago holds a commanding home advantage (18-8, .692) against a Houston road squad that is 8-17 away, and the Cubs' team ERA (4.07) and WHIP (1.23) are substantially better than Houston's (5.34 / 1.53), but Arrighetti's elite 1.50 ERA caps confidence below PICK threshold.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Spencer Arrighetti
HOU
Spencer Arrighetti
(6-1, 1.32)
1.32
ERA
Jameson Taillon
CHC
Jameson Taillon
(2-4, 5.20)
5.20
ERA

Season Series — HOU 3 - CHC 0

HOU 8-5 CHC
May 24
HOU 3-0 CHC
May 23
HOU 4-2 CHC
May 22

Batting

0.246
#6
AVG
0.238
#16
0.723
#7
OPS
0.725
#5
63
#7
HR
59
#11
225
#17
R
248
#6
215
#18
RBI
229
#7
17
#29
SB
34
#18

Pitching

5.18
#30
ERA
4.05
#15
1.500
#30
WHIP
1.230
#9
446
#12
K
417
#21
257
#30
BB
160
#8
13
#22
QS
17
#16
13
#14
SV
10
#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
8.1
#21
0.251
#25
OPP AVG
0.235
#12
0.778
#29
OPP OPS
0.700
#16
22
#23
HLD
11
#30

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

23-31
Overall ATS
21-32
12-16
Away/Home ATS
12-17
5-14
As Favorite
13-26
18-17
As Underdog
8-6
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-5
6-4
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.4
Avg margin: -0.9
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

4.31
R/G
4.77
5.20
RA/G
4.40
-0.9
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

HOUHunter BrownSP
60-Day-IL
HOUYainer DiazC
10-Day-IL
HOUJosh HaderRP
60-Day-IL
HOUJose Altuve2B
10-Day-IL
HOUYordan AlvarezDH
Day-To-Day
HOUJoey LoperfidoLF
10-Day-IL
HOUTaylor TrammellCF
10-Day-IL
HOULance McCullers Jr.SP
15-Day-IL
CHCEdward CabreraSP
15-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCMatthew BoydSP
15-Day-IL
CHCBrandon BirdsellRP
Day-To-Day
CHCJeff BrighamRP
Day-To-Day
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPorter HodgeRP
60-Day-IL