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MLB Matchup

Astros @ Orioles

Tue, Apr 28 10:35 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsMLB.TV
Final
HOU 3 - 5 BAL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
HOU +1.5·BAL -1.5
Moneyline
HOU +109·BAL -131
Total
9
Astros
Away
Astros
11-19
3-11 road
L
W
L
L
W
Orioles
Home
Orioles
14-15
8-8 home
W
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Orioles ML
-143· moderate risk
60%

Shane Baz's 5.08 ERA is a concern, but Baltimore's team ERA (4.33) and WHIP (1.39) are meaningfully better than Houston's (5.97 / 1.65), and the Orioles hold home-field advantage as moderate favorites at -143.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Kai-Wei Teng
HOU
Kai-Wei Teng
(1-2, 2.75)
2.75
ERA
Shane Baz
BAL
Shane Baz
(1-2, 4.50)
4.50
ERA

Season Series — HOU 0 - BAL 1

HOU 5-3 BAL
Apr 28

Batting

0.260
#4
AVG
0.240
#13
0.784
#3
OPS
0.723
#9
38
#7
HR
35
#11
154
#5
R
130
#17
146
#4
RBI
129
#14
12
#27
SB
15
#25

Pitching

5.96
#30
ERA
4.28
#19
1.640
#30
WHIP
1.400
#23
274
#4
K
252
#14
160
#30
BB
102
#13
5
#26
QS
6
#24
6
#21
SV
10
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

9.4
#2
K/9
8.8
#12
0.268
#29
OPP AVG
0.259
#25
0.830
#30
OPP OPS
0.762
#27
12
#26
HLD
19
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

11-19
Overall ATS
13-16
4-10
Away/Home ATS
7-9
5-11
As Favorite
7-12
6-8
As Underdog
6-4
0-0
Over/Under
0-0
3-7
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.8
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

5.13
R/G
4.48
5.97
RA/G
4.93
-0.9
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

HOUTatsuya ImaiSP
15-Day-IL
HOUJeremy PenaSS
10-Day-IL
HOUHunter BrownSP
15-Day-IL
HOUNate PearsonRP
15-Day-IL
HOUTaylor TrammellCF
10-Day-IL
HOUJoey LoperfidoLF
10-Day-IL
HOUCody BoltonSP
15-Day-IL
HOUNick AllenSS
10-Day-IL
BALJackson Holliday2B
10-Day-IL
BALHans CrouseRP
Day-To-Day
BALWill RobertsonLF
Day-To-Day
BALRyan Noda1B
Day-To-Day
BALDean KremerSP
15-Day-IL
BALDietrich EnnsRP
15-Day-IL
BALYaramil HiraldoRP
60-Day-IL
BALHeston KjerstadLF
10-Day-IL