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MLB Matchup

Astros @ Tigers

Thu, Jun 25 10:40 PMComerica ParkMLB.TV
Final
HOU 2 - 1 DET
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
HOU +1.5·DET -1.5
Moneyline
HOU +100·DET -121
Total
9
Astros
Away
Astros
65-66
32-31 road
L
L
W
L
W
Tigers
Home
Tigers
61-70
32-32 home
L
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-114· moderate risk
68%

Troy Melton's 4-0 record and 2.56 ERA represents a massive pitching edge over Tatsuya Imai's 6.15 ERA, a delta of 3.59 runs — well above the 1.5 threshold for a significant lean toward the better starter's team.

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Starting Pitchers

Tatsuya Imai
HOU
Tatsuya Imai
(6-4, 5.32)
5.32
ERA
Troy Melton
DET
Troy Melton
(7-2, 1.60)
1.60
ERA

Season Series — HOU 5 - DET 2

HOU 7-5 DET
Jun 28
HOU 8-6 DET
Jun 27
HOU 8-0 DET
Jun 26
HOU 2-1 DET
Jun 25
HOU 4-2 DET
Jun 17
HOU 4-2 DET
Jun 17
HOU 9-3 DET
Jun 16

Batting

0.242
#18
AVG
0.242
#18
0.727
#10
OPS
0.723
#12
173
#5
HR
154
#14
596
#12
R
587
#14
567
#13
RBI
560
#16
40
#29
SB
38
#30

Pitching

4.63
#25
ERA
3.62
#5
1.360
#24
WHIP
1.220
#6
1149
#10
K
1063
#19
540
#29
BB
400
#9
36
#25
QS
48
#9
39
#5
SV
26
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

8.9
#9
K/9
8.3
#19
0.240
#15
OPP AVG
0.232
#7
0.739
#24
OPP OPS
0.682
#6
65
#21
HLD
60
#24

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

63-68
Overall ATS
66-65
31-32
Away/Home ATS
34-30
24-42
As Favorite
31-46
39-26
As Underdog
35-19
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-6
2-8
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.55
R/G
4.49
4.89
RA/G
3.95
-0.4
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

HOUMike BurrowsSP
15-Day-IL
HOUBrice MatthewsCF
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL
DETRiley GreeneLF
10-Day-IL
DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETBrant HurterRP
60-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETMatt VierlingCF
10-Day-IL