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MLB Matchup

Astros @ Tigers

Thu, Jun 25 10:40 PMComerica ParkMLB.TV
Final
HOU 2 - 1 DET
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
HOU -1.5·DET +1.5
Moneyline
HOU +100·DET -121
Total
9
Astros
Away
Astros
46-49
23-25 road
L
W
L
W
W
Tigers
Home
Tigers
43-50
26-21 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-114· moderate risk
68%

Troy Melton's 4-0 record and 2.56 ERA represents a massive pitching edge over Tatsuya Imai's 6.15 ERA, a delta of 3.59 runs — well above the 1.5 threshold for a significant lean toward the better starter's team.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tatsuya Imai
HOU
Tatsuya Imai
(5-4, 6.06)
6.06
ERA
Troy Melton
DET
Troy Melton
(5-1, 1.82)
1.82
ERA

Season Series — HOU 5 - DET 2

HOU 7-5 DET
Jun 28
HOU 8-6 DET
Jun 27
HOU 8-0 DET
Jun 26
HOU 2-1 DET
Jun 25
HOU 4-2 DET
Jun 17
HOU 4-2 DET
Jun 17
HOU 9-3 DET
Jun 16

Batting

0.241
#18
AVG
0.236
#24
0.725
#15
OPS
0.713
#19
126
#3
HR
111
#14
432
#11
R
395
#20
412
#12
RBI
377
#20
34
#28
SB
31
#30

Pitching

4.78
#27
ERA
3.66
#6
1.400
#26
WHIP
1.220
#6
817
#9
K
767
#19
414
#30
BB
274
#7
26
#22
QS
36
#6
28
#4
SV
18
#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.8
#9
K/9
8.4
#19
0.242
#17
OPP AVG
0.234
#7
0.751
#25
OPP OPS
0.686
#8
44
#20
HLD
41
#24

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

45-50
Overall ATS
50-43
23-25
Away/Home ATS
30-17
12-25
As Favorite
20-30
33-25
As Underdog
30-13
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

4.55
R/G
4.25
5.05
RA/G
4.00
-0.6
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

HOULance McCullers Jr.SP
15-Day-IL
HOURonel BlancoSP
60-Day-IL
HOUBennett SousaRP
60-Day-IL
HOUHayden WesneskiSP
60-Day-IL
HOUKai-Wei TengRP
15-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL
DETDillon DinglerC
Day-To-Day
DETWill VestRP
15-Day-IL
DETJackson JobeSP
60-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETGleyber Torres2B
10-Day-IL
DETParker MeadowsCF
60-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
60-Day-IL