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MLB Matchup

Astros @ Twins

Wed, May 20 5:40 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
HOU 1 - 4 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
HOU +1.5·MIN -1.5
Moneyline
HOU +113·MIN -136
Total
7.5
Astros
Away
Astros
81-81
42-39 road
L
L
Twins
Home
Twins
77-85
42-39 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Twins ML
-149· moderate risk
72%

Joe Ryan's 3.20 ERA vs Mike Burrows' 5.72 ERA represents a 2.52-run gap — a clear and significant starting pitcher advantage for Minnesota at home

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Mike Burrows
HOU
Mike Burrows
(4-9, 5.99)
5.99
ERA
Joe Ryan
MIN
Joe Ryan
(7-10, 3.79)
3.79
ERA

Batting

0.169
#28
AVG
0.245
#14
0.582
#28
OPS
0.720
#12
4
#23
HR
187
#7
6
#28
R
739
#6
5
#28
RBI
707
#6
0
#28
SB
91
#14

Pitching

5.50
#26
ERA
4.56
#21
1.500
#27
WHIP
1.360
#22
21
#26
K
1381
#9
8
#7
BB
581
#22
0
#27
QS
54
#9
0
#25
SV
45
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

10.5
#2
K/9
8.7
#13
0.271
#26
OPP AVG
0.249
#19
0.729
#21
OPP OPS
0.734
#22
0
#26
HLD
110
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

0-2
Overall ATS
85-77
0-0
Away/Home ATS
42-39
0-2
As Favorite
16-34
0-0
As Underdog
69-43
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-12
0-2
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.0%
Avg spread: -1.5
Avg margin: -3.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.53
R/G
4.56
4.73
RA/G
4.92
-0.2
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

HOUEnyel De Los SantosRP
Out
HOUCristian JavierSP
Out
HOUBrice MatthewsCF
Out
HOUDaulton VarshoCF
Out
HOUMike BurrowsSP
60-Day-IL
HOUJake MeyersCF
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Out
MINByron BuxtonCF
10-Day-IL
MINJeff HoffmanRP
15-Day-IL
MINTrevor LarnachLF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL