AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Braves @ Brewers

Sun, Aug 23 11:00 PMJourney Bank Ballpark at Historic Bowman FieldESPN
Final
ATL 4 - 2 MIL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL +1.5·MIL -1.5
Moneyline
ATL +101·MIL -108
Total
8
Braves
Away
Braves
76-55
34-32 road
W
L
L
W
L
Brewers
Home
Brewers
81-50
45-24 home
L
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-123· moderate risk
68%

Milwaukee holds a meaningful starter ERA advantage (Drohan 3.86 vs Mahle 4.53), superior team ERA (3.42 vs 3.61), better run differential (+1.3 vs +0.8), and a dominant home record (45-23) against a Braves squad on a 4-game losing streak with a depleted pitching staff.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tyler Mahle
ATL
Tyler Mahle
(5-10, 4.41)
4.41
ERA
MIL
Shane Drohan
(6-5, 3.84)
3.84
ERA

Season Series — ATL 3 - MIL 3

ATL 4-2 MIL
Aug 23
ATL 4-1 MIL
Aug 22
ATL 2-1 MIL
Aug 21
ATL 9-4 MIL
Jun 21
ATL 4-3 MIL
Jun 20
ATL 3-2 MIL
Jun 19

Batting

0.246
#11
AVG
0.253
#4
0.721
#14
OPS
0.733
#7
167
#7
HR
120
#30
610
#8
R
648
#5
585
#8
RBI
609
#5
63
#25
SB
129
#3

Pitching

3.61
#5
ERA
3.42
#2
1.240
#8
WHIP
1.160
#2
1106
#12
K
1259
#2
442
#16
BB
411
#11
49
#8
QS
46
#12
39
#4
SV
43
#3

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
9.7
#2
0.230
#4
OPP AVG
0.219
#2
0.685
#7
OPP OPS
0.650
#1
92
#3
HLD
68
#17

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-61
Overall ATS
68-63
34-32
Away/Home ATS
38-31
46-51
As Favorite
52-53
24-10
As Underdog
16-10
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: +1.2

Scoring

4.69
R/G
4.96
3.85
RA/G
3.73
0.9
DIFF
1.3

Injury Report

ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL
MILGarrett MitchellCF
Day-To-Day
MILSal FrelickRF
10-Day-IL
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
60-Day-IL
MILJoJo RomeroRP
15-Day-IL
MILAbner UribeRP
15-Day-IL
MILJoel KuhnelRP
15-Day-IL
MILRob ZastryznyRP
60-Day-IL
MILBrian FitzpatrickRP
60-Day-IL