AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Braves @ Marlins

Thu, May 21 10:40 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV
Final
ATL 9 - 3 MIA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL -1.5·MIA +1.5
Moneyline
ATL -137·MIA +114
Total
7.5
Braves
Away
Braves
76-55
34-32 road
W
L
L
W
L
Marlins
Home
Marlins
67-65
41-26 home
L
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

WONAtlanta Braves 9, Miami Marlins 3
Braves ML
-143· moderate risk

Atlanta holds a +2.1 run differential edge over Miami, pairs Spencer Strider (2.45 ERA) against Sandy Alcantara (3.53 ERA), and is an elite road team at 19-7 ATS (.731) while Miami is a poor home team at 12-17 ATS (.414).

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Spencer Strider
ATL
Spencer Strider
(4-2, 5.31)
5.31
ERA
Sandy Alcantara
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
(13-8, 3.38)
3.38
ERA

Season Series — ATL 8 - MIA 2

ATL 11-3 MIA
Aug 6
ATL 4-1 MIA
Aug 5
ATL 4-2 MIA
Aug 4
ATL 9-3 MIA
May 21
ATL 9-1 MIA
May 20
ATL 8-4 MIA
May 19
ATL 12-0 MIA
May 18
ATL 6-3 MIA
Apr 15
ATL 6-5 MIA
Apr 14
ATL 10-4 MIA
Apr 13

Batting

0.246
#11
AVG
0.249
#8
0.722
#14
OPS
0.728
#9
168
#7
HR
133
#24
614
#8
R
573
#19
588
#8
RBI
550
#19
65
#24
SB
132
#2

Pitching

3.60
#4
ERA
3.90
#9
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.250
#9
1112
#12
K
1075
#18
445
#17
BB
435
#15
49
#8
QS
45
#14
40
#4
SV
30
#22

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
8.4
#17
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.231
#5
0.686
#7
OPP OPS
0.682
#6
94
#3
HLD
74
#10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-61
Overall ATS
66-66
34-32
Away/Home ATS
35-32
46-51
As Favorite
30-32
24-10
As Underdog
36-34
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.69
R/G
4.36
3.85
RA/G
4.21
0.9
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL
MIAPete FairbanksRP
Day-To-Day
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL