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MLB Matchup

Braves @ Mets

Sun, Jun 14 5:40 PMCiti FieldMLB.TV
Final
ATL 1 - 8 NYM
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL +1.5·NYM -1.5
Moneyline
ATL +113·NYM -136
Total
8.5
Braves
Away
Braves
54-38
27-20 road
W
W
L
L
L
Mets
Home
Mets
40-54
21-25 home
W
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
+104· moderate risk
68%

Atlanta holds a significant quality gap over New York with a +1.9 run differential edge, a 22-game win percentage advantage (.657 vs .443), and a superior starting pitcher (Elder 2.66 ERA vs Peralta 4.04 ERA) — but the +104 underdog price demands extra scrutiny that keeps this a LEAN rather than a PICK.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(5-6, 4.12)
4.12
ERA
Freddy Peralta
NYM
Freddy Peralta
(5-7, 4.68)
4.68
ERA

Season Series — ATL 3 - NYM 4

ATL 7-6 NYM
Jul 6
ATL 10-9 NYM
Jul 5
ATL 14-3 NYM
Jul 5
ATL 5-3 NYM
Jul 3
ATL 8-1 NYM
Jun 14
ATL 3-1 NYM
Jun 13
ATL 7-5 NYM
Jun 12

Batting

0.249
#9
AVG
0.235
#25
0.728
#12
OPS
0.687
#28
120
#7
HR
110
#15
454
#8
R
394
#21
439
#5
RBI
375
#22
48
#21
SB
44
#25

Pitching

3.61
#5
ERA
4.32
#19
1.240
#9
WHIP
1.310
#16
778
#16
K
860
#3
308
#12
BB
337
#21
31
#15
QS
21
#26
27
#8
SV
16
#29

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
9.2
#3
0.230
#5
OPP AVG
0.239
#14
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.715
#14
65
#3
HLD
36
#27

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

50-42
Overall ATS
41-53
27-20
Away/Home ATS
21-25
36-33
As Favorite
22-38
14-9
As Underdog
19-15
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-9
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +1.0
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: -0.6

Scoring

4.93
R/G
4.19
3.90
RA/G
4.79
1.0
DIFF
-0.6

Injury Report

ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRonald Acuna Jr.RF
10-Day-IL
ATLMartin PerezSP
15-Day-IL
ATLHa-Seong KimSS
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
60-Day-IL
NYMClay HolmesSP
60-Day-IL
NYMMark Vientos1B
10-Day-IL
NYMAustin WarrenRP
15-Day-IL
NYMMarcus Semien2B
10-Day-IL
NYMLuis Robert Jr.CF
60-Day-IL
NYMDedniel NunezRP
60-Day-IL
NYMReed GarrettRP
60-Day-IL
NYMJustin HagenmanRP
60-Day-IL