AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Braves @ Mets

Sun, Jun 14 5:40 PMCiti FieldMLB.TV
Final
ATL 1 - 8 NYM
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL +1.5·NYM -1.5
Moneyline
ATL +113·NYM -136
Total
8.5
Braves
Away
Braves
76-55
34-32 road
W
L
L
W
L
Mets
Home
Mets
59-72
30-35 home
L
W
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
+104· moderate risk
68%

Atlanta holds a significant quality gap over New York with a +1.9 run differential edge, a 22-game win percentage advantage (.657 vs .443), and a superior starting pitcher (Elder 2.66 ERA vs Peralta 4.04 ERA) — but the +104 underdog price demands extra scrutiny that keeps this a LEAN rather than a PICK.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(8-7, 3.92)
3.92
ERA
Freddy Peralta
NYM
Freddy Peralta
(5-11, 5.33)
5.33
ERA

Season Series — ATL 6 - NYM 7

ATL 6-3 NYM
Aug 12
ATL 4-0 NYM
Aug 11
ATL 8-5 NYM
Aug 10
ATL 1-0 NYM
Jul 29
ATL 3-2 NYM
Jul 29
ATL 14-3 NYM
Jul 27
ATL 7-6 NYM
Jul 6
ATL 10-9 NYM
Jul 5
ATL 14-3 NYM
Jul 5
ATL 5-3 NYM
Jul 3
ATL 8-1 NYM
Jun 14
ATL 3-1 NYM
Jun 13
ATL 7-5 NYM
Jun 12

Batting

0.246
#11
AVG
0.236
#24
0.722
#14
OPS
0.698
#26
168
#7
HR
161
#9
614
#8
R
546
#23
588
#8
RBI
523
#23
65
#24
SB
68
#21

Pitching

3.60
#4
ERA
4.07
#12
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.300
#17
1112
#12
K
1183
#6
445
#17
BB
469
#21
49
#8
QS
38
#24
40
#4
SV
25
#27

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
9.1
#7
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.237
#10
0.686
#7
OPP OPS
0.712
#14
94
#3
HLD
57
#25

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-61
Overall ATS
60-71
34-32
Away/Home ATS
30-35
46-51
As Favorite
26-46
24-10
As Underdog
34-25
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-11
4-6
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.69
R/G
4.17
3.85
RA/G
4.47
0.9
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL
NYMJorge PolancoDH
10-Day-IL
NYMMark Vientos1B
10-Day-IL
NYMJustin HagenmanRP
60-Day-IL
NYMJuan SotoLF
10-Day-IL
NYMDevin WilliamsRP
15-Day-IL
NYMCionel PerezRP
15-Day-IL
NYMReed GarrettRP
60-Day-IL
NYMTylor MegillSP
60-Day-IL