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MLB Matchup

Braves @ Padres

Tue, Jun 23 2:00 AMPetco ParkESPN
Final
ATL 0 - 1 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL -1.5·SD +1.5
Moneyline
ATL -103·SD -117
Total
7.5
Braves
Away
Braves
48-30
24-16 road
L
L
L
W
W
Padres
Home
Padres
41-37
21-19 home
W
W
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-109· moderate risk
65%

Atlanta holds a +1.4 run differential edge over San Diego and owns a dominant 24-14 (.632) ATS road record, but Michael King's superior ERA (3.60 vs 4.33) and Petco Park's pitcher-friendly environment temper conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Grant Holmes
ATL
Grant Holmes
(4-4, 4.17)
4.17
ERA
Michael King
SD
Michael King
(5-6, 3.33)
3.33
ERA

Season Series — ATL 0 - SD 2

ATL 7-6 SD
Jun 24
ATL 1-0 SD
Jun 23

Batting

0.252
#7
AVG
0.220
#30
0.733
#7
OPS
0.657
#30
102
#8
HR
80
#21
383
#7
R
304
#29
373
#6
RBI
296
#29
41
#21
SB
78
#4

Pitching

3.40
#3
ERA
3.88
#9
1.210
#5
WHIP
1.300
#17
673
#12
K
651
#16
258
#13
BB
272
#16
30
#8
QS
15
#28
23
#7
SV
24
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#13
K/9
8.5
#16
0.225
#4
OPP AVG
0.242
#16
0.667
#4
OPP OPS
0.701
#10
49
#7
HLD
47
#10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

43-35
Overall ATS
43-35
24-16
Away/Home ATS
22-18
31-29
As Favorite
15-18
12-6
As Underdog
28-17
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-2
2-8
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: +1.2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

4.91
R/G
3.90
3.69
RA/G
4.00
1.2
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

ATLKyle FarmerDH
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRonald Acuna Jr.RF
10-Day-IL
ATLTyler KinleyRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
15-Day-IL
SDGerman MarquezSP
15-Day-IL
SDMatt WaldronSP
15-Day-IL
SDNick PivettaSP
60-Day-IL
SDLuis CampusanoC
10-Day-IL
SDJoe MusgroveSP
60-Day-IL
SDRamon LaureanoLF
60-Day-IL
SDJeremiah EstradaRP
15-Day-IL