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MLB Matchup

Braves @ Padres

Tue, Jun 23 2:00 AMPetco ParkESPN
Final
ATL 0 - 1 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL +1.5·SD -1.5
Moneyline
ATL -103·SD -117
Total
7.5
Braves
Away
Braves
76-55
34-32 road
W
L
L
W
L
Padres
Home
Padres
71-60
40-26 home
W
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-109· moderate risk
65%

Atlanta holds a +1.4 run differential edge over San Diego and owns a dominant 24-14 (.632) ATS road record, but Michael King's superior ERA (3.60 vs 4.33) and Petco Park's pitcher-friendly environment temper conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Grant Holmes
ATL
Grant Holmes
(8-5, 3.64)
3.64
ERA
Michael King
SD
Michael King
(8-9, 3.38)
3.38
ERA

Season Series — ATL 3 - SD 4

ATL 6-5 SD
Jul 23
ATL 7-6 SD
Jul 22
ATL 8-3 SD
Jul 21
ATL 3-2 SD
Jul 20
ATL 5-2 SD
Jun 25
ATL 7-6 SD
Jun 24
ATL 1-0 SD
Jun 23

Batting

0.246
#11
AVG
0.238
#22
0.721
#14
OPS
0.705
#22
167
#7
HR
145
#17
610
#8
R
556
#21
585
#8
RBI
536
#20
63
#25
SB
124
#6

Pitching

3.61
#5
ERA
4.04
#12
1.240
#8
WHIP
1.300
#18
1106
#12
K
1046
#22
442
#16
BB
444
#18
49
#8
QS
28
#28
39
#4
SV
39
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
8.2
#21
0.230
#4
OPP AVG
0.243
#16
0.685
#7
OPP OPS
0.712
#15
92
#3
HLD
81
#8

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-61
Overall ATS
75-56
34-32
Away/Home ATS
38-28
46-51
As Favorite
26-31
24-10
As Underdog
49-25
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.69
R/G
4.31
3.85
RA/G
4.18
0.9
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL
SDCasey MizeSP
Day-To-Day
SDNick PivettaSP
60-Day-IL
SDJoe MusgroveSP
60-Day-IL
SDJason AdamRP
60-Day-IL
SDMiguel AndujarDH
10-Day-IL
SDSamad TaylorLF
10-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
15-Day-IL
SDRamon LaureanoLF
60-Day-IL