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MLB Matchup

Braves @ Padres

Thu, Jun 25 12:40 AMPetco ParkMLB.TV
Final
ATL 2 - 5 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL -1.5·SD +1.5
Moneyline
ATL -117·SD -103
Total
8
Braves
Away
Braves
54-38
27-20 road
W
W
L
L
L
Padres
Home
Padres
46-47
25-23 home
L
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-136· moderate risk
62%

Atlanta holds a meaningful team quality gap with a +1.2 run differential vs San Diego's -0.1, a superior OPS (.733 vs .657), and a better ERA (3.40 vs 3.88), but San Diego's 7-3 ATS run and 2-0 series lead this week temper conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(6-6, 3.54)
3.54
ERA
JP Sears
SD
JP Sears
(2-1, 4.70)
4.70
ERA

Season Series — ATL 0 - SD 3

ATL 5-2 SD
Jun 25
ATL 7-6 SD
Jun 24
ATL 1-0 SD
Jun 23

Batting

0.249
#9
AVG
0.225
#30
0.728
#12
OPS
0.671
#30
120
#7
HR
97
#22
454
#8
R
363
#30
439
#5
RBI
355
#29
48
#21
SB
96
#3

Pitching

3.61
#5
ERA
4.20
#13
1.240
#9
WHIP
1.340
#20
778
#16
K
759
#20
308
#12
BB
332
#20
31
#15
QS
17
#29
27
#8
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
8.3
#20
0.230
#5
OPP AVG
0.247
#19
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.723
#18
65
#3
HLD
57
#8

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

50-42
Overall ATS
50-43
27-20
Away/Home ATS
26-22
36-33
As Favorite
16-20
14-9
As Underdog
34-23
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +1.0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

4.93
R/G
3.90
3.90
RA/G
4.37
1.0
DIFF
-0.5

Injury Report

ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRonald Acuna Jr.RF
10-Day-IL
ATLMartin PerezSP
15-Day-IL
ATLHa-Seong KimSS
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
60-Day-IL
SDRandy VasquezSP
15-Day-IL
SDFreddy FerminC
10-Day-IL
SDSamad TaylorLF
10-Day-IL
SDJason AdamRP
15-Day-IL
SDMatt WaldronRP
15-Day-IL
SDJeremiah EstradaRP
15-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
15-Day-IL
SDDavid MorganRP
15-Day-IL