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MLB Matchup

Braves @ Padres

Thu, Jun 25 12:40 AMPetco ParkMLB.TV
Final
ATL 2 - 5 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL +1.5·SD -1.5
Moneyline
ATL -117·SD -103
Total
8
Braves
Away
Braves
76-55
34-32 road
W
L
L
W
L
Padres
Home
Padres
71-60
40-26 home
W
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-136· moderate risk
62%

Atlanta holds a meaningful team quality gap with a +1.2 run differential vs San Diego's -0.1, a superior OPS (.733 vs .657), and a better ERA (3.40 vs 3.88), but San Diego's 7-3 ATS run and 2-0 series lead this week temper conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(8-8, 3.12)
3.12
ERA
JP Sears
SD
JP Sears
(3-4, 4.68)
4.68
ERA

Season Series — ATL 3 - SD 4

ATL 6-5 SD
Jul 23
ATL 7-6 SD
Jul 22
ATL 8-3 SD
Jul 21
ATL 3-2 SD
Jul 20
ATL 5-2 SD
Jun 25
ATL 7-6 SD
Jun 24
ATL 1-0 SD
Jun 23

Batting

0.246
#11
AVG
0.239
#22
0.722
#14
OPS
0.708
#22
168
#7
HR
148
#17
614
#8
R
564
#21
588
#8
RBI
544
#20
65
#24
SB
125
#7

Pitching

3.60
#4
ERA
4.01
#11
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.290
#14
1112
#12
K
1052
#22
445
#17
BB
444
#16
49
#8
QS
29
#27
40
#4
SV
39
#5

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
8.2
#20
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.242
#16
0.686
#7
OPP OPS
0.711
#13
94
#3
HLD
81
#8

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-61
Overall ATS
75-56
34-32
Away/Home ATS
38-28
46-51
As Favorite
26-31
24-10
As Underdog
49-25
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
4-6
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.69
R/G
4.31
3.85
RA/G
4.18
0.9
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL
SDJoe MusgroveSP
60-Day-IL
SDNick PivettaSP
60-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
60-Day-IL
SDCasey MizeSP
Day-To-Day
SDJason AdamRP
60-Day-IL
SDMiguel AndujarDH
10-Day-IL
SDSamad TaylorLF
10-Day-IL
SDRamon LaureanoLF
60-Day-IL