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MLB Matchup

Braves @ Twins

Mon, Aug 17 11:40 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
ATL 2 - 4 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ATL -1.5·MIN +1.5
Moneyline
ATL -131·MIN +122
Total
9
Braves
Away
Braves
76-55
34-32 road
W
L
L
W
L
Twins
Home
Twins
63-68
35-31 home
L
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Braves ML
-124· moderate risk
72%

Martin Perez (2.96 ERA) holds a 1.68-run ERA advantage over Bailey Ober (4.64 ERA), the single most reliable predictive signal in MLB betting, paired with Atlanta's superior team ERA (3.64 vs 4.67) and run differential edge (+0.9 vs -0.4).

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Martin Perez
ATL
Martin Perez
(8-8, 3.12)
3.12
ERA
Bailey Ober
MIN
Bailey Ober
(7-4, 4.49)
4.49
ERA

Season Series — ATL 0 - MIN 3

ATL 6-4 MIN
Aug 19
ATL 4-1 MIN
Aug 18
ATL 4-2 MIN
Aug 17

Batting

0.246
#11
AVG
0.245
#13
0.722
#14
OPS
0.723
#12
168
#7
HR
151
#15
614
#8
R
600
#9
588
#8
RBI
572
#10
65
#24
SB
74
#18

Pitching

3.60
#4
ERA
4.66
#26
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.390
#26
1112
#12
K
1081
#17
445
#17
BB
481
#22
49
#8
QS
43
#17
40
#4
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
8.4
#17
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.252
#25
0.686
#7
OPP OPS
0.744
#25
94
#3
HLD
89
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-61
Overall ATS
69-62
34-32
Away/Home ATS
34-32
46-51
As Favorite
11-26
24-10
As Underdog
58-36
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-11
4-6
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
Avg margin: -0.4

Scoring

4.69
R/G
4.58
3.85
RA/G
4.99
0.9
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL
MINJoe RyanSP
15-Day-IL
MINAustin MartinRF
10-Day-IL
MINMike ParedesSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
60-Day-IL
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
60-Day-IL
MINAnthony BandaRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL