AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Brewers @ Cardinals

Mon, May 4 11:45 PMBusch StadiumMLB.TV
Final
MIL 3 - 6 STL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIL -1.5·STL +1.5
Moneyline
MIL -126·STL +105
Total
9
Brewers
Away
Brewers
30-20
14-9 road
L
L
W
W
W
Cardinals
Home
Cardinals
29-22
13-13 home
L
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-118· moderate risk
68%

Chad Patrick's 2.57 ERA vs Kyle Leahy's 5.52 ERA represents a 2.95-run gap — a near-automatic lean toward the better starter's team per methodology

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chad Patrick
MIL
Chad Patrick
(2-2, 2.63)
2.63
ERA
Kyle Leahy
STL
Kyle Leahy
(5-3, 4.44)
4.44
ERA

Season Series — MIL 1 - STL 1

MIL 6-2 STL
May 6
MIL 6-3 STL
May 4

Batting

0.246
#6
AVG
0.242
#14
0.698
#16
OPS
0.716
#11
34
#30
HR
60
#10
245
#7
R
233
#10
230
#6
RBI
226
#9
54
#2
SB
34
#18

Pitching

3.28
#3
ERA
4.20
#20
1.210
#5
WHIP
1.370
#23
476
#5
K
380
#29
176
#11
BB
190
#20
13
#22
QS
19
#9
16
#5
SV
17
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

9.8
#1
K/9
7.4
#29
0.221
#3
OPP AVG
0.254
#26
0.644
#4
OPP OPS
0.725
#22
27
#19
HLD
42
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

30-20
Overall ATS
30-21
14-9
Away/Home ATS
15-11
18-14
As Favorite
5-4
12-6
As Underdog
25-17
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +1.3
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0

Scoring

4.92
R/G
4.57
3.58
RA/G
4.55
1.3
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MILQuinn PriesterSP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
15-Day-IL
MILRob ZastryznyRP
60-Day-IL
MILJared KoenigRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon LockridgeLF
10-Day-IL
MILGerson GarabitoRP
Day-To-Day
MILAngel ZerpaRP
15-Day-IL
STLNathan ChurchLF
10-Day-IL
STLRamon Urias3B
10-Day-IL
STLLars NootbaarLF
60-Day-IL
STLPacky NaughtonRP
Day-To-Day
STLSem RobberseSP
Day-To-Day
STLVictor SantosRP
Day-To-Day
STLIxan HendersonSP
Day-To-Day
STLZack ThompsonRP
Day-To-Day