MLB Matchup

Brewers @ Marlins

Fri, Apr 17 11:10 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV

Final

MIL 7 - 5 MIA

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

MIL -1.5·MIA +1.5

Moneyline

MIL -105·MIA -115

Total

Away

Brewers

42-25

20-12 road

Home

Marlins

35-35

23-16 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Brewers ML

-105· high risk

58%

Milwaukee carries a superior ATS record (11-7, .611 vs Miami's 7-12, .368), a 2-game win streak, and positive run differential (+0.9) against a Marlins team that is 4-6 ATS at home and on a 2-game losing streak — all while getting plus-money on the moneyline despite being the stronger team by most metrics.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

MIL

Coleman Crow

(0-1, 5.30)

5.30

ERA

MIA

Janson Junk

(3-5, 4.80)

4.80

ERA

Season Series — MIL 2 - MIA 1

MIL 5-3 MIA

Apr 19

MIL 5-2 MIA

Apr 18

MIL 7-5 MIA

Apr 17

Batting

0.254

AVG

0.246

#10

0.730

OPS

0.707

#18

#27

358

304

#15

338

RBI

292

#16

Pitching

3.42

ERA

4.11

#16

1.210

WHIP

1.250

654

601

#11

227

#12

248

#19

#20

#17

#16

Bullpen & Advanced

9.8

K/9

8.8

0.224

OPP AVG

0.226

0.663

OPP OPS

0.676

#22

HLD

#14

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

39-28

Overall ATS

35-35

18-14

Away/Home ATS

20-19

27-22

As Favorite

14-17

12-6

As Underdog

21-18

0-0-2

Over/Under

0-0-3

5-5

Last 10 ATS

9-1

ATS Win%

0.6%

Avg spread: -0.7

Avg margin: +1.6

ATS Win%

0.5%

Avg spread: +0.2

Scoring

5.34

R/G

4.34

3.72

RA/G

4.36

1.6

DIFF

-0.1

Injury Report

MILColeman CrowSP

15-Day-IL

MILQuinn PriesterSP

60-Day-IL

MILJared KoenigRP

15-Day-IL

MILBrandon WoodruffSP

15-Day-IL

MILBrian FitzpatrickRP

60-Day-IL

MILDL HallRP

15-Day-IL

MILCarlos RodriguezRP

15-Day-IL

MILLogan HendersonSP

15-Day-IL

MIAThomas WhiteSP

Day-To-Day

MIAJosh EknessRP

15-Day-IL

MIAGriffin ConineLF

60-Day-IL

MIAAndrew NardiRP

60-Day-IL

MIAJanson JunkSP

15-Day-IL

MIAEury PerezSP

15-Day-IL

MIAKemp AldermanRF

Day-To-Day

MIARobby SnellingSP

60-Day-IL