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MLB Matchup

Brewers @ Marlins

Sat, Apr 18 8:10 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV
Final
MIL 5 - 2 MIA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIL -1.5·MIA +1.5
Moneyline
MIL +100·MIA -120
Total
7.5
Brewers
Away
Brewers
37-23
16-10 road
L
L
W
W
W
Marlins
Home
Marlins
29-34
18-15 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-105· moderate risk
62%

Milwaukee carries a +1.0 run differential edge, a W3 streak, and a dominant 12-7 ATS record against a Miami team that is 4-7 ATS at home and riding a L3 skid — but Alcantara's 2.67 ERA vs Woodruff's 4.32 ERA is a meaningful counter-signal that keeps this a lean rather than a pick.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Brandon Woodruff
MIL
Brandon Woodruff
(2-1, 3.60)
3.60
ERA
Sandy Alcantara
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
(4-4, 4.59)
4.59
ERA

Season Series — MIL 2 - MIA 1

MIL 5-3 MIA
Apr 19
MIL 5-2 MIA
Apr 18
MIL 7-5 MIA
Apr 17

Batting

0.247
#7
AVG
0.244
#12
0.705
#16
OPS
0.703
#18
44
#30
HR
54
#27
301
#6
R
268
#16
284
#6
RBI
256
#17
63
#2
SB
71
#1

Pitching

3.26
#3
ERA
4.28
#20
1.200
#5
WHIP
1.260
#12
580
#3
K
531
#11
205
#13
BB
221
#18
16
#24
QS
19
#18
19
#5
SV
14
#20

Bullpen & Advanced

9.8
#1
K/9
8.6
#13
0.222
#3
OPP AVG
0.228
#5
0.645
#3
OPP OPS
0.683
#7
30
#19
HLD
30
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

35-25
Overall ATS
29-34
15-11
Away/Home ATS
15-18
23-19
As Favorite
12-17
12-6
As Underdog
17-17
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: +1.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

5.02
R/G
4.25
3.53
RA/G
4.54
1.5
DIFF
-0.2

Injury Report

MILDL HallRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
15-Day-IL
MILGrant AndersonRP
Day-To-Day
MILLogan HendersonSP
15-Day-IL
MILRob ZastryznyRP
15-Day-IL
MILQuinn PriesterSP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon LockridgeLF
10-Day-IL
MILAngel ZerpaRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJosh EknessRP
15-Day-IL
MIAGriffin ConineLF
60-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJanson JunkSP
15-Day-IL
MIAEury PerezSP
15-Day-IL
MIAKemp AldermanRF
Day-To-Day
MIAThomas WhiteSP
Day-To-Day
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL