AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Brewers @ Mets

Thu, Aug 27 11:10 PMCiti FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIL 8 - 2 NYM
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIL -1.5·NYM +1.5
Moneyline
MIL -198·NYM +184
Total
7
Brewers
Away
Brewers
103-59
48-33 road
W
L
W
W
Mets
Home
Mets
74-88
36-45 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-216· moderate risk
72%

Jacob Misiorowski's 1.68 ERA vs Sean Manaea's 4.31 ERA is a dominant 2.63-run pitching edge, but MIL at -216 requires 68% implied probability and demands 80+ confidence to justify the juice — keeping this a LEAN.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Jacob Misiorowski
MIL
Jacob Misiorowski
(16-5, 1.80)
1.80
ERA
Sean Manaea
NYM
Sean Manaea
(6-8, 4.78)
4.78
ERA

Batting

0.250
#4
AVG
0.239
#19
0.688
#6
OPS
0.705
#20
3
#20
HR
204
#3
13
#1
R
699
#13
12
#1
RBI
668
#14
5
#4
SB
83
#17

Pitching

1.80
#5
ERA
4.15
#14
1.090
#7
WHIP
1.290
#14
32
#1
K
1450
#5
15
#15
BB
552
#19
0
#12
QS
48
#16
2
#2
SV
31
#20

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#3
K/9
9.1
#9
0.181
#5
OPP AVG
0.239
#14
0.514
#5
OPP OPS
0.713
#14
1
#10
HLD
77
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

84-78
Overall ATS
75-87
39-42
Away/Home ATS
36-45
67-67
As Favorite
34-53
17-11
As Underdog
41-34
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-13
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.0
Avg margin: +1.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

5.14
R/G
4.31
3.81
RA/G
4.51
1.3
DIFF
-0.2

Injury Report

MILBrandon WoodruffSP
60-Day-IL
MILGrant AndersonRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrian FitzpatrickRP
60-Day-IL
MILQuinn PriesterSP
60-Day-IL
MILAngel ZerpaRP
60-Day-IL
NYMReed GarrettRP
60-Day-IL
NYMTylor MegillSP
60-Day-IL
NYMJonathan PintaroRP
15-Day-IL
NYMChristian ScottSP
15-Day-IL
NYMDaniel DuarteRP
15-Day-IL
NYMRobert StockSP
15-Day-IL
NYMJorge PolancoDH
60-Day-IL