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MLB Matchup

Brewers @ Twins

Sat, May 16 11:10 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIL 2 - 1 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIL -1.5·MIN +1.5
Moneyline
MIL -132·MIN +109
Total
8.5
Brewers
Away
Brewers
30-20
14-9 road
L
L
W
W
W
Twins
Home
Twins
26-27
15-14 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-126· moderate risk
68%

Milwaukee holds a +1.6 run differential edge over Minnesota and a significantly superior team ERA (3.32 vs 4.43), making them the stronger team on both sides of the ball despite being a modest road favorite.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Logan Henderson
MIL
Logan Henderson
(2-1, 2.74)
2.74
ERA
Connor Prielipp
MIN
Connor Prielipp
(1-2, 4.03)
4.03
ERA

Season Series — MIL 2 - MIN 1

MIL 5-4 MIN
May 17
MIL 2-1 MIN
May 16
MIL 3-2 MIN
May 15

Batting

0.246
#6
AVG
0.238
#16
0.698
#16
OPS
0.712
#12
34
#30
HR
57
#13
245
#7
R
242
#8
230
#6
RBI
229
#7
54
#2
SB
40
#13

Pitching

3.28
#3
ERA
4.18
#19
1.210
#5
WHIP
1.320
#18
476
#5
K
400
#26
176
#11
BB
188
#19
13
#22
QS
21
#6
16
#5
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.8
#1
K/9
7.8
#25
0.221
#3
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.644
#4
OPP OPS
0.703
#17
27
#19
HLD
39
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

30-20
Overall ATS
29-24
14-9
Away/Home ATS
17-12
18-14
As Favorite
3-8
12-6
As Underdog
26-16
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
9-1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +1.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.92
R/G
4.68
3.58
RA/G
4.60
1.3
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MILQuinn PriesterSP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
15-Day-IL
MILRob ZastryznyRP
60-Day-IL
MILJared KoenigRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon LockridgeLF
10-Day-IL
MILGerson GarabitoRP
Day-To-Day
MILAngel ZerpaRP
15-Day-IL
MINRyan JeffersC
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Day-To-Day
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINCody LawerysonRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL