AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Cardinals @ Marlins

Wed, Apr 22 4:10 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV
Final
STL 1 - 4 MIA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
STL +1.5·MIA -1.5
Moneyline
STL +129·MIA -156
Total
8.5
Cardinals
Away
Cardinals
14-10
7-5 road
L
W
L
W
W
Marlins
Home
Marlins
12-13
10-6 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
+109· moderate risk
62%

St. Louis carries a significant ATS edge (+19% overall win rate vs Miami) and is the moneyline underdog at +109, creating positive expected value if they win at even a modest rate above 48%.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Kyle Leahy
STL
Kyle Leahy
(2-3, 5.63)
5.63
ERA
Janson Junk
MIA
Janson Junk
(1-2, 3.67)
3.67
ERA

Season Series — STL 1 - MIA 2

STL 4-1 MIA
Apr 22
STL 5-3 MIA
Apr 21
STL 5-3 MIA
Apr 20

Batting

0.228
#20
AVG
0.257
#5
0.692
#21
OPS
0.721
#10
27
#10
HR
17
#27
112
#13
R
112
#13
109
#13
RBI
107
#15
19
#11
SB
27
#3

Pitching

4.77
#26
ERA
3.93
#13
1.430
#25
WHIP
1.230
#6
154
#30
K
224
#8
97
#22
BB
94
#21
6
#17
QS
7
#15
9
#4
SV
8
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

6.4
#30
K/9
9.2
#7
0.257
#26
OPP AVG
0.216
#3
0.740
#22
OPP OPS
0.648
#4
19
#5
HLD
12
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

13-11
Overall ATS
10-15
6-6
Away/Home ATS
7-9
3-2
As Favorite
5-6
10-9
As Underdog
5-9
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-2
6-4
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.2
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.67
R/G
4.48
5.13
RA/G
4.40
-0.4
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

STLHunter DobbinsSP
15-Day-IL
STLMatt PushardRP
15-Day-IL
STLPacky NaughtonRP
Day-To-Day
STLIxan HendersonSP
Day-To-Day
STLLars NootbaarLF
60-Day-IL
STLVictor SantosRP
Day-To-Day
STLSem RobberseSP
Day-To-Day
STLZack ThompsonRP
Day-To-Day
MIAEsteury RuizLF
10-Day-IL
MIALeo JimenezSS
Day-To-Day
MIAChristopher MorelLF
10-Day-IL
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out