AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Cardinals @ Royals

Sun, Jun 21 6:10 PMKauffman StadiumMLB.TV
Final
STL 12 - 10 KC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
STL -1.5·KC +1.5
Moneyline
STL -125·KC +104
Total
9
Cardinals
Away
Cardinals
66-66
34-32 road
L
L
L
W
L
Royals
Home
Royals
58-74
36-30 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Royals ML
+104· moderate risk
60%

Stephen Kolek's 2.68 ERA represents a meaningful pitching edge over Dustin May's 3.75 ERA, and Kansas City enters on a W3 streak having outscored St. Louis in two of three games this series, but the Cardinals' superior ATS record and road splits prevent a stronger lean.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Dustin May
STL
Dustin May
(6-8, 4.57)
4.57
ERA
Stephen Kolek
KC
Stephen Kolek
(4-3, 4.50)
4.50
ERA

Season Series — STL 3 - KC 3

STL 12-10 KC
Jun 21
STL 6-5 KC
Jun 20
STL 14-6 KC
Jun 18
STL 2-0 KC
May 17
STL 4-2 KC
May 16
STL 5-4 KC
May 16

Batting

0.241
#20
AVG
0.246
#11
0.699
#24
OPS
0.714
#19
137
#21
HR
136
#22
585
#16
R
560
#22
570
#11
RBI
534
#22
82
#17
SB
104
#9

Pitching

4.14
#17
ERA
4.72
#28
1.340
#22
WHIP
1.400
#27
1015
#24
K
964
#28
446
#18
BB
490
#26
47
#10
QS
53
#4
38
#8
SV
33
#16

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
7.5
#28
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.258
#28
0.721
#18
OPP OPS
0.768
#28
85
#6
HLD
65
#21

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

71-61
Overall ATS
64-68
36-30
Away/Home ATS
34-32
13-24
As Favorite
14-29
58-37
As Underdog
50-39
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
8-2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: -0.7

Scoring

4.43
R/G
4.24
4.45
RA/G
4.93
0.0
DIFF
-0.7

Injury Report

STLMasyn WinnSS
Day-To-Day
STLEverson PereiraRF
10-Day-IL
STLHunter DobbinsSP
15-Day-IL
STLAndre PallanteSP
15-Day-IL
STLMax RajcicRP
60-Day-IL
KCCarlos EstevezRP
60-Day-IL
KCTony GonsolinSP
15-Day-IL
KCJac CaglianoneRF
Day-To-Day
KCMaikel Garcia3B
10-Day-IL
KCBeck WayRP
15-Day-IL
KCJames McArthurRP
60-Day-IL
KCNick MearsRP
60-Day-IL
KCLuinder AvilaSP
60-Day-IL