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MLB Matchup

Cubs @ Diamondbacks

Tue, Aug 25 1:40 AMChase FieldMLB.TV
Bot 9th
CHC 7 - 0 ARI
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Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CHC -1.5·ARI +1.5
Moneyline
CHC -140·ARI +130
Total
9
Cubs
Away
Cubs
75-56
37-29 road
W
L
L
L
W
Diamondbacks
Home
Diamondbacks
69-62
38-28 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-136· moderate risk
62%

Kevin Gausman holds a 0.79 ERA advantage (4.58 vs 5.37) over Merrill Kelly, and the Cubs carry superior offensive metrics (team OPS .762 vs .719, 684 runs vs 598) that compound the pitching edge.

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Starting Pitchers

Kevin Gausman
CHC
Kevin Gausman
(6-11, 4.58)
4.58
ERA
Merrill Kelly
ARI
Merrill Kelly
(8-11, 5.37)
5.37
ERA

Season Series — CHC 3 - ARI 0

CHC 8-4 ARI
May 3
CHC 2-0 ARI
May 2
CHC 6-5 ARI
May 1

Batting

0.250
#7
AVG
0.245
#13
0.762
#1
OPS
0.719
#15
174
#3
HR
129
#26
684
#1
R
598
#11
645
#2
RBI
570
#11
99
#10
SB
89
#14

Pitching

4.12
#16
ERA
4.19
#20
1.260
#11
WHIP
1.290
#14
1007
#26
K
892
#29
393
#6
BB
386
#4
40
#20
QS
47
#10
29
#23
SV
32
#20

Bullpen & Advanced

7.7
#26
K/9
6.9
#29
0.244
#17
OPP AVG
0.252
#25
0.728
#21
OPP OPS
0.735
#23
49
#30
HLD
73
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

64-67
Overall ATS
71-60
36-30
Away/Home ATS
37-29
40-57
As Favorite
21-30
24-10
As Underdog
50-30
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-8
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

5.22
R/G
4.56
4.34
RA/G
4.50
0.9
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
60-Day-IL
CHCGavin HollowellRP
15-Day-IL
CHCBen BrownRP
60-Day-IL
CHCRiley MartinRP
60-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCDansby SwansonSS
10-Day-IL
ARITommy TroyLF
10-Day-IL
ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARIKetel Marte2B
10-Day-IL
ARILourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
10-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIZac GallenSP
60-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL