AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Cubs @ Mets

Mon, Jun 22 11:10 PMCiti FieldMLB.TV

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CHC -1.5·NYM +1.5
Moneyline
CHC -131·NYM +108
Total
9
Cubs
Away
Cubs
76-57
38-30 road
L
W
W
L
L
Mets
Home
Mets
60-72
31-35 home
W
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-122· moderate risk
68%

Imanaga (4.26 ERA, 4-6) holds a massive ERA advantage over Senga (9.00 ERA, 0-5), a differential of 4.74 runs that represents the clearest statistical edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Shota Imanaga
CHC
Shota Imanaga
(8-9, 3.78)
3.78
ERA
Kodai Senga
NYM
Kodai Senga
(0-9, 7.79)
7.79
ERA

Season Series — CHC 7 - NYM 0

CHC 4-3 NYM
Jun 25
CHC 10-5 NYM
Jun 24
CHC 10-3 NYM
Jun 24
CHC 9-6 NYM
Jun 23
CHC 2-1 NYM
Apr 19
CHC 4-2 NYM
Apr 18
CHC 12-4 NYM
Apr 17

Batting

0.250
#7
AVG
0.237
#23
0.762
#1
OPS
0.699
#24
177
#3
HR
163
#9
695
#2
R
549
#23
656
#2
RBI
525
#24
99
#10
SB
69
#21

Pitching

4.10
#14
ERA
4.05
#12
1.250
#10
WHIP
1.300
#15
1019
#26
K
1192
#7
398
#6
BB
472
#19
42
#18
QS
39
#24
29
#25
SV
25
#28

Bullpen & Advanced

7.7
#26
K/9
9.1
#7
0.243
#17
OPP AVG
0.237
#10
0.724
#20
OPP OPS
0.711
#14
49
#30
HLD
58
#25

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

65-68
Overall ATS
61-71
37-31
Away/Home ATS
31-35
41-58
As Favorite
26-46
24-10
As Underdog
35-25
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-11
4-6
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

5.23
R/G
4.16
4.32
RA/G
4.45
0.9
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
60-Day-IL
CHCGavin HollowellRP
15-Day-IL
CHCBen BrownRP
60-Day-IL
CHCRiley MartinRP
60-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCDansby SwansonSS
10-Day-IL
NYMJorge PolancoDH
10-Day-IL
NYMMark Vientos1B
10-Day-IL
NYMJustin HagenmanRP
60-Day-IL
NYMJuan SotoLF
10-Day-IL
NYMDevin WilliamsRP
15-Day-IL
NYMCionel PerezRP
15-Day-IL
NYMReed GarrettRP
60-Day-IL
NYMTylor MegillSP
60-Day-IL