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MLB Matchup

Cubs @ Padres

Tue, Apr 28 1:40 AMPetco ParkMLB.TV
Final
CHC 7 - 9 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CHC -1.5·SD +1.5
Moneyline
CHC +100·SD -120
Total
7.5
Cubs
Away
Cubs
18-12
7-7 road
W
L
L
L
W
Padres
Home
Padres
19-10
10-5 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Padres ML
-108· moderate risk
62%

Randy Vasquez (2-0, 1.88 ERA) holds a massive ERA advantage over Matthew Boyd (1-1, 5.79 ERA) — a 3.91-run differential that is the single clearest edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Matthew Boyd
CHC
Matthew Boyd
(1-1, 7.00)
7.00
ERA
Randy Vasquez
SD
Randy Vasquez
(3-0, 2.94)
2.94
ERA

Season Series — CHC 1 - SD 1

CHC 8-3 SD
Apr 29
CHC 9-7 SD
Apr 28

Batting

0.261
#3
AVG
0.238
#17
0.777
#4
OPS
0.698
#21
40
#4
HR
27
#22
164
#3
R
135
#13
149
#3
RBI
130
#12
20
#15
SB
27
#8

Pitching

4.01
#14
ERA
4.20
#18
1.200
#4
WHIP
1.300
#15
243
#20
K
257
#12
90
#5
BB
98
#11
10
#12
QS
7
#20
5
#24
SV
12
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.2
#20
K/9
8.9
#11
0.232
#10
OPP AVG
0.244
#19
0.680
#7
OPP OPS
0.698
#13
5
#30
HLD
23
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

15-15
Overall ATS
18-11
6-8
Away/Home ATS
11-4
8-11
As Favorite
9-5
7-4
As Underdog
9-6
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-1
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +1.1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.3

Scoring

5.47
R/G
4.66
4.33
RA/G
4.34
1.2
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

CHCDansby SwansonSS
Day-To-Day
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCRiley MartinRP
15-Day-IL
CHCCaleb ThielbarRP
15-Day-IL
CHCPorter HodgeRP
60-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
15-Day-IL
CHCDaniel PalenciaRP
15-Day-IL
CHCJaxon WigginsSP
Day-To-Day
SDManny Machado3B
Day-To-Day
SDWill Wagner3B
10-Day-IL
SDYuki MatsuiRP
15-Day-IL
SDJeremiah EstradaRP
15-Day-IL
SDGriffin CanningSP
15-Day-IL
SDBryan HoeingRP
60-Day-IL
SDNick PivettaSP
15-Day-IL
SDJoe MusgroveSP
15-Day-IL