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MLB Matchup

Cubs @ Phillies

Tue, Apr 14 10:40 PMCitizens Bank ParkMLB.TV
Final
CHC 10 - 4 PHI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CHC +1.5·PHI -1.5
Moneyline
CHC +124·PHI -149
Total
10
Cubs
Away
Cubs
32-27
14-16 road
W
L
W
W
L
Phillies
Home
Phillies
30-28
14-16 home
W
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
+123· high risk
60%

Chicago holds a +1.0 run differential edge over Philadelphia and gets a significant pitching upgrade with Aaron Nola (3.63 ERA) facing an unproven Riley Martin, but the Cubs' own starter situation and Philadelphia's home momentum create enough uncertainty to keep this a lean rather than a pick.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Riley Martin
CHC
Riley Martin
(0-0, 2.16)
2.16
ERA
Aaron Nola
PHI
Aaron Nola
(3-4, 5.72)
5.72
ERA

Season Series — CHC 6 - PHI 1

CHC 8-7 PHI
Apr 23
CHC 7-2 PHI
Apr 22
CHC 7-4 PHI
Apr 21
CHC 5-1 PHI
Apr 20
CHC 11-2 PHI
Apr 15
CHC 10-4 PHI
Apr 14
CHC 13-7 PHI
Apr 13

Batting

0.240
#16
AVG
0.225
#29
0.726
#8
OPS
0.675
#28
66
#12
HR
71
#8
283
#6
R
229
#24
260
#7
RBI
225
#23
37
#17
SB
43
#12

Pitching

4.17
#17
ERA
3.96
#14
1.230
#7
WHIP
1.290
#17
471
#18
K
544
#3
178
#8
BB
155
#2
19
#15
QS
26
#3
10
#26
SV
17
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

8.1
#20
K/9
9.4
#2
0.238
#13
OPP AVG
0.257
#28
0.710
#17
OPP OPS
0.708
#16
14
#30
HLD
23
#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

24-35
Overall ATS
19-39
12-18
Away/Home ATS
9-21
15-28
As Favorite
16-31
9-7
As Underdog
3-8
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-2
3-7
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.4
ATS Win%
0.3%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

4.80
R/G
3.95
4.41
RA/G
4.26
0.4
DIFF
-0.4

Injury Report

CHCMatthew BoydSP
15-Day-IL
CHCEdward CabreraSP
15-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCBrandon BirdsellRP
Day-To-Day
CHCJeff BrighamRP
Day-To-Day
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPorter HodgeRP
60-Day-IL
PHICarson DeMartiniSS
Day-To-Day
PHIBryan RinconSS
Day-To-Day
PHIKyle BackhusRP
15-Day-IL
PHIKeaton Anthony1B
Day-To-Day
PHIRene PintoC
Day-To-Day
PHIDaniel RobertRP
Day-To-Day
PHIAndrew Bechtold3B
Day-To-Day
PHIMark KolozsvaryC
Day-To-Day