MLB Matchup

Cubs @ Phillies

Wed, Apr 15 10:40 PMCitizens Bank ParkESPN Unlmtd

Final

CHC 11 - 2 PHI

Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings

Run Line

CHC +1.5·PHI -1.5

Moneyline

CHC +117·PHI -141

Total

Away

Cubs

56-44

27-23 road

Home

Phillies

56-45

27-23 home

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation

Cubs ML

+113· moderate risk

72%

Imanaga's 2.81 ERA vs Luzardo's 6.23 ERA represents a 3.42-run gap — the single largest measurable edge in this matchup and a near-automatic lean toward the better starter's team per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

CHC

Shota Imanaga

(6-8, 3.91)

3.91

ERA

PHI

Jesus Luzardo

(9-4, 3.43)

3.43

ERA

Season Series — CHC 6 - PHI 1

CHC 8-7 PHI

Apr 23

CHC 7-2 PHI

Apr 22

CHC 7-4 PHI

Apr 21

CHC 5-1 PHI

Apr 20

CHC 11-2 PHI

Apr 15

CHC 10-4 PHI

Apr 14

CHC 13-7 PHI

Apr 13

Batting

0.245

#13

AVG

0.237

#22

0.751

OPS

0.707

#22

126

#10

133

508

442

#16

474

RBI

427

#16

#13

Pitching

4.29

#19

ERA

4.24

#17

1.280

#12

WHIP

1.320

#18

780

#25

986

307

#10

297

#24

#25

Bullpen & Advanced

7.9

#24

K/9

9.9

0.246

#18

OPP AVG

0.255

#26

0.740

#23

OPP OPS

0.732

#21

#28

HLD

#25

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

44-56

Overall ATS

39-62

25-25

Away/Home ATS

20-30

29-46

As Favorite

34-46

15-10

As Underdog

5-16

0-0-6

Over/Under

0-0-5

7-3

Last 10 ATS

5-5

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: -0.7

Avg margin: +0.6

ATS Win%

0.4%

Avg spread: -0.9

Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

5.08

R/G

4.38

4.48

RA/G

4.48

0.6

DIFF

-0.1

Injury Report

CHCTrent ThorntonRP

Day-To-Day

CHCPhil MatonRP

15-Day-IL

CHCShelby MillerRP

60-Day-IL

CHCHunter HarveyRP

60-Day-IL

CHCBen BrownRP

15-Day-IL

CHCEthan RobertsRP

15-Day-IL

CHCMatt ShawRF

10-Day-IL

CHCDaniel PalenciaRP

15-Day-IL

PHIBrad KellerRP

15-Day-IL

PHITanner BanksRP

15-Day-IL

PHILou TrivinoRP

15-Day-IL

PHIJohan RojasCF

60-Day-IL

PHIAdolis GarciaRF

60-Day-IL