AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Diamondbacks @ Brewers

Tue, Apr 28 11:40 PMAmerican Family FieldMLB.TV
Final
ARI 2 - 13 MIL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ARI +1.5·MIL -1.5
Moneyline
ARI +113·MIL -136
Total
8
Diamondbacks
Away
Diamondbacks
15-13
6-7 road
L
W
L
L
W
Brewers
Home
Brewers
15-13
9-7 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-118· moderate risk
62%

Chad Patrick's 2.35 ERA dwarfs Merrill Kelly's 9.31 ERA — a 6.96-run gap between starters is the dominant signal in this game.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Merrill Kelly
ARI
Merrill Kelly
(1-2, 9.20)
9.20
ERA
Chad Patrick
MIL
Chad Patrick
(2-1, 2.57)
2.57
ERA

Season Series — ARI 0 - MIL 1

ARI 13-2 MIL
Apr 28

Batting

0.250
#8
AVG
0.238
#17
0.725
#8
OPS
0.691
#24
27
#22
HR
20
#28
134
#14
R
145
#8
128
#16
RBI
140
#8
16
#22
SB
36
#1

Pitching

4.86
#27
ERA
3.75
#8
1.370
#20
WHIP
1.280
#12
206
#29
K
258
#11
92
#6
BB
105
#16
5
#26
QS
7
#20
9
#9
SV
9
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

7.5
#29
K/9
9.3
#5
0.257
#23
OPP AVG
0.233
#12
0.761
#26
OPP OPS
0.681
#8
23
#2
HLD
17
#15

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

19-9
Overall ATS
17-11
10-3
Away/Home ATS
9-7
4-2
As Favorite
11-7
15-7
As Underdog
6-4
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.7%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: -0.6
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +1.1

Scoring

4.79
R/G
5.18
5.36
RA/G
4.11
-0.6
DIFF
1.1

Injury Report

ARIGeraldo PerdomoSS
Day-To-Day
ARIZac GallenSP
Day-To-Day
ARIGabriel MorenoC
10-Day-IL
ARITyler Locklear1B
10-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIA.J. PukRP
60-Day-IL
ARIPavin Smith1B
60-Day-IL
ARIA.J. VukovichCF
Out
MILQuinn PriesterSP
15-Day-IL
MILChristian YelichLF
10-Day-IL
MILJared KoenigRP
15-Day-IL
MILAndrew Vaughn1B
10-Day-IL
MILJackson ChourioCF
10-Day-IL
MILGerson GarabitoRP
Day-To-Day
MILRob ZastryznyRP
60-Day-IL
MILAkil BaddooLF
60-Day-IL