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MLB Matchup

Diamondbacks @ Cubs

Sat, May 2 6:20 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV
Final
ARI 0 - 2 CHC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ARI +1.5·CHC -1.5
Moneyline
ARI +141·CHC -171
Total
7
Diamondbacks
Away
Diamondbacks
69-63
31-34 road
L
W
L
W
W
Cubs
Home
Cubs
76-56
38-27 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

WONArizona Diamondbacks 0, Chicago Cubs 2
Cubs ML
-175· moderate risk

Shota Imanaga (3.15 ERA) vs. Ryne Nelson (7.71 ERA) is a massive 4.56-run ERA gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Ryne Nelson
ARI
Ryne Nelson
(3-5, 4.97)
4.97
ERA
Shota Imanaga
CHC
Shota Imanaga
(8-9, 3.78)
3.78
ERA

Season Series — ARI 0 - CHC 4

ARI 7-0 CHC
Aug 25
ARI 8-4 CHC
May 3
ARI 2-0 CHC
May 2
ARI 6-5 CHC
May 1

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.250
#7
0.719
#15
OPS
0.762
#1
129
#26
HR
174
#3
598
#11
R
684
#1
570
#11
RBI
645
#2
89
#14
SB
99
#10

Pitching

4.19
#20
ERA
4.12
#16
1.290
#14
WHIP
1.260
#11
892
#29
K
1007
#26
386
#4
BB
393
#6
47
#10
QS
40
#20
32
#20
SV
29
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

6.9
#29
K/9
7.7
#26
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.244
#17
0.735
#23
OPP OPS
0.728
#21
73
#11
HLD
49
#30

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

71-61
Overall ATS
65-67
34-31
Away/Home ATS
28-37
21-30
As Favorite
41-57
50-31
As Underdog
24-10
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-7
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

4.53
R/G
5.23
4.52
RA/G
4.31
0.0
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

ARITommy TroyLF
10-Day-IL
ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARIKetel Marte2B
10-Day-IL
ARILourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
10-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIZac GallenSP
60-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
60-Day-IL
CHCGavin HollowellRP
15-Day-IL
CHCBen BrownRP
60-Day-IL
CHCRiley MartinRP
60-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCDansby SwansonSS
10-Day-IL