AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Diamondbacks @ Cubs

Sat, May 2 6:20 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV
Final
ARI 0 - 2 CHC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ARI +1.5·CHC -1.5
Moneyline
ARI +141·CHC -171
Total
7
Diamondbacks
Away
Diamondbacks
46-47
19-27 road
W
L
L
W
L
Cubs
Home
Cubs
52-42
27-19 home
L
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

WONArizona Diamondbacks 0, Chicago Cubs 2
Cubs ML
-175· moderate risk

Shota Imanaga (3.15 ERA) vs. Ryne Nelson (7.71 ERA) is a massive 4.56-run ERA gap — the single clearest edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Ryne Nelson
ARI
Ryne Nelson
(3-5, 4.97)
4.97
ERA
Shota Imanaga
CHC
Shota Imanaga
(5-8, 4.17)
4.17
ERA

Season Series — ARI 0 - CHC 3

ARI 8-4 CHC
May 3
ARI 2-0 CHC
May 2
ARI 6-5 CHC
May 1

Batting

0.237
#22
AVG
0.244
#13
0.690
#26
OPS
0.749
#5
84
#29
HR
118
#9
393
#22
R
471
#5
377
#20
RBI
439
#5
60
#16
SB
67
#13

Pitching

4.26
#17
ERA
4.35
#20
1.280
#13
WHIP
1.270
#12
634
#30
K
726
#25
267
#5
BB
291
#10
35
#8
QS
24
#23
24
#15
SV
18
#25

Bullpen & Advanced

7.0
#30
K/9
7.9
#24
0.251
#23
OPP AVG
0.244
#18
0.737
#22
OPP OPS
0.737
#22
50
#16
HLD
33
#29

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

50-43
Overall ATS
40-53
24-22
Away/Home ATS
17-29
17-19
As Favorite
25-44
33-24
As Underdog
15-9
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.3
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.23
R/G
5.01
4.53
RA/G
4.52
-0.3
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIJordan LawlarLF
10-Day-IL
ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIA.J. PukRP
60-Day-IL
ARICristian MenaRP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIJustin MartinezRP
60-Day-IL
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
15-Day-IL
CHCJameson TaillonSP
15-Day-IL
CHCEdward CabreraSP
15-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCEthan RobertsRP
15-Day-IL
CHCDaniel PalenciaRP
15-Day-IL
CHCHoby MilnerRP
15-Day-IL