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MLB Matchup

Diamondbacks @ Cubs

Sun, May 3 6:20 PMWrigley FieldMLB.TV
Final
ARI 4 - 8 CHC
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ARI +1.5·CHC -1.5
Moneyline
ARI +129·CHC -156
Total
12
Diamondbacks
Away
Diamondbacks
69-63
31-34 road
L
W
L
W
W
Cubs
Home
Cubs
76-56
38-27 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cubs ML
-156· high risk
72%

Chicago holds a commanding +2.0 run differential edge over Arizona, backs it with a 13-5 home record against Arizona's 7-10 road mark, and owns a significantly better team ERA (3.89 vs 4.96) and WHIP (1.18 vs 1.39)

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Merrill Kelly
ARI
Merrill Kelly
(8-12, 5.35)
5.35
ERA
Matthew Boyd
CHC
Matthew Boyd
(8-2, 4.15)
4.15
ERA

Season Series — ARI 0 - CHC 4

ARI 7-0 CHC
Aug 25
ARI 8-4 CHC
May 3
ARI 2-0 CHC
May 2
ARI 6-5 CHC
May 1

Batting

0.244
#16
AVG
0.250
#7
0.716
#16
OPS
0.763
#1
129
#26
HR
176
#3
598
#11
R
691
#2
570
#11
RBI
652
#2
91
#13
SB
99
#10

Pitching

4.21
#20
ERA
4.09
#13
1.300
#15
WHIP
1.250
#10
896
#29
K
1013
#26
390
#5
BB
394
#6
47
#10
QS
41
#19
32
#20
SV
29
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

6.9
#29
K/9
7.7
#26
0.253
#25
OPP AVG
0.243
#17
0.737
#23
OPP OPS
0.725
#20
73
#11
HLD
49
#30

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

71-61
Overall ATS
65-67
34-31
Away/Home ATS
28-37
21-30
As Favorite
41-57
50-31
As Underdog
24-10
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-7
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.9

Scoring

4.53
R/G
5.23
4.52
RA/G
4.31
0.0
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

ARITommy TroyLF
10-Day-IL
ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARIKetel Marte2B
10-Day-IL
ARILourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
10-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIZac GallenSP
60-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL
CHCJustin SteeleSP
60-Day-IL
CHCPhil MatonRP
60-Day-IL
CHCGavin HollowellRP
15-Day-IL
CHCBen BrownRP
60-Day-IL
CHCRiley MartinRP
60-Day-IL
CHCHunter HarveyRP
60-Day-IL
CHCMatt ShawRF
10-Day-IL
CHCDansby SwansonSS
10-Day-IL