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MLB Matchup

Diamondbacks @ Red Sox

Tue, Aug 18 11:10 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
ARI 4 - 9 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
ARI +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
ARI +148·BOS -159
Total
7.5
Diamondbacks
Away
Diamondbacks
69-62
31-34 road
W
L
W
W
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
71-59
34-32 home
W
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

PICK
Red Sox ML
-165· moderate risk
76%

Ranger Suarez (3.25 ERA) holds a dominant 1.86 ERA advantage over Merrill Kelly (5.11 ERA), the single most predictive signal in MLB game outcomes.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Merrill Kelly
ARI
Merrill Kelly
(8-11, 5.37)
5.37
ERA
Ranger Suarez
BOS
Ranger Suarez
(5-3, 3.41)
3.41
ERA

Season Series — ARI 1 - BOS 2

ARI 7-6 BOS
Aug 19
ARI 9-4 BOS
Aug 18
ARI 11-1 BOS
Aug 17

Batting

0.245
#13
AVG
0.251
#6
0.719
#15
OPS
0.731
#8
129
#26
HR
133
#24
598
#11
R
589
#13
570
#11
RBI
564
#14
89
#14
SB
97
#11

Pitching

4.19
#20
ERA
3.51
#3
1.290
#14
WHIP
1.220
#6
892
#29
K
1112
#12
386
#4
BB
369
#3
47
#10
QS
53
#4
32
#20
SV
36
#13

Bullpen & Advanced

6.9
#29
K/9
8.7
#11
0.252
#25
OPP AVG
0.239
#13
0.735
#23
OPP OPS
0.679
#4
73
#11
HLD
80
#9

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

71-60
Overall ATS
63-67
34-31
Away/Home ATS
30-36
21-30
As Favorite
39-49
50-30
As Underdog
24-18
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.5
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

4.56
R/G
4.53
4.50
RA/G
3.77
0.1
DIFF
0.7

Injury Report

ARIMichael SorokaSP
15-Day-IL
ARILourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
10-Day-IL
ARIKetel Marte2B
10-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIZac GallenSP
60-Day-IL
ARIRyne NelsonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIBlake WalstonSP
60-Day-IL
ARIRyan ThompsonRP
15-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSGarrett WhitlockRP
15-Day-IL
BOSMasataka YoshidaDH
10-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSJustin SlatenRP
15-Day-IL
BOSIsiah Kiner-Falefa2B
60-Day-IL