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MLB Matchup

Dodgers @ Padres

Sun, Jun 28 12:40 AMPetco ParkMLB.TV
Final
LAD 15 - 3 SD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
LAD -1.5·SD +1.5
Moneyline
LAD -216·SD +176
Total
8
Dodgers
Away
Dodgers
61-33
30-17 road
W
L
W
L
W
Padres
Home
Padres
46-47
25-23 home
L
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-205· moderate risk
62%

Yamamoto (7-5, 2.65 ERA) holds a 1.52-run ERA advantage over Vasquez (6-5, 4.17 ERA), the single largest quantifiable edge in this matchup, but the -205 price demands 67% break-even and the Padres' momentum offsets full conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(9-5, 2.49)
2.49
ERA
Kyle Hart
SD
Kyle Hart
(0-1, 5.23)
5.23
ERA

Season Series — LAD 7 - SD 3

LAD 5-2 SD
Jul 5
LAD 3-0 SD
Jul 5
LAD 4-3 SD
Jul 4
LAD 12-7 SD
Jul 3
LAD 4-2 SD
Jun 28
LAD 15-3 SD
Jun 28
LAD 7-1 SD
Jun 27
LAD 4-0 SD
May 21
LAD 5-4 SD
May 20
LAD 1-0 SD
May 19

Batting

0.264
#1
AVG
0.225
#30
0.783
#1
OPS
0.671
#30
124
#5
HR
97
#22
498
#2
R
363
#30
468
#3
RBI
355
#29
37
#26
SB
96
#3

Pitching

3.48
#3
ERA
4.20
#13
1.130
#1
WHIP
1.340
#20
837
#6
K
759
#20
279
#9
BB
332
#20
53
#1
QS
17
#29
25
#12
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

9.1
#6
K/9
8.3
#20
0.216
#1
OPP AVG
0.247
#19
0.646
#1
OPP OPS
0.723
#18
60
#6
HLD
57
#8

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

45-49
Overall ATS
50-43
26-21
Away/Home ATS
26-22
42-49
As Favorite
16-20
3-0
As Underdog
34-23
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0-2
4-6
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.4
Avg margin: +1.7
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

5.30
R/G
3.90
3.55
RA/G
4.37
1.7
DIFF
-0.5

Injury Report

LADEnrique Hernandez1B
10-Day-IL
LADBlake SnellSP
60-Day-IL
LADLandon KnackSP
60-Day-IL
LADBlake TreinenRP
15-Day-IL
LADEdwin DiazRP
60-Day-IL
LADWill SmithC
10-Day-IL
LADTyler GlasnowSP
60-Day-IL
LADBobby MillerSP
60-Day-IL
SDRandy VasquezSP
15-Day-IL
SDFreddy FerminC
10-Day-IL
SDSamad TaylorLF
10-Day-IL
SDJason AdamRP
15-Day-IL
SDMatt WaldronRP
15-Day-IL
SDJeremiah EstradaRP
15-Day-IL
SDLucas GiolitoSP
15-Day-IL
SDDavid MorganRP
15-Day-IL