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MLB Matchup

Guardians @ Athletics

Sun, May 3 8:05 PMSutter Health ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
CLE 1 - 7 ATH
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CLE -1.5·ATH +1.5
Moneyline
CLE -126·ATH +104
Total
9
Guardians
Away
Guardians
32-23
17-13 road
W
L
W
W
W
Athletics
Home
Athletics
27-26
10-12 home
W
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Guardians ML
-122· moderate risk
68%

Parker Messick (3-0, 1.73 ERA) holds a massive 1.50-point ERA advantage over Aaron Civale (2-1, 3.23 ERA), and Cleveland's team ERA (3.88) and WHIP (1.26) are significantly superior to Oakland's (4.64 / 1.47), giving the Guardians a clear pitching edge at every level.

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Starting Pitchers

Parker Messick
CLE
Parker Messick
(6-1, 2.24)
2.24
ERA
Aaron Civale
ATH
Aaron Civale
(5-1, 3.31)
3.31
ERA

Season Series — CLE 2 - ATH 1

CLE 7-1 ATH
May 3
CLE 14-6 ATH
May 2
CLE 8-5 ATH
May 2

Batting

0.227
#26
AVG
0.248
#5
0.692
#20
OPS
0.722
#8
54
#15
HR
54
#15
229
#13
R
227
#15
219
#13
RBI
223
#10
54
#2
SB
33
#20

Pitching

3.59
#7
ERA
4.29
#23
1.250
#12
WHIP
1.400
#25
505
#1
K
411
#23
185
#17
BB
210
#26
18
#13
QS
11
#27
20
#2
SV
15
#7

Bullpen & Advanced

9.5
#2
K/9
8.0
#22
0.232
#9
OPP AVG
0.250
#24
0.688
#12
OPP OPS
0.753
#25
45
#1
HLD
37
#6

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

31-24
Overall ATS
28-24
15-15
Away/Home ATS
10-12
13-16
As Favorite
3-12
18-8
As Underdog
25-12
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-3
6-4
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.2

Scoring

4.22
R/G
4.38
3.80
RA/G
4.51
0.4
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

CLEGabriel AriasSS
10-Day-IL
CLECarlos HernandezRP
Day-To-Day
ATHDenzel ClarkeCF
10-Day-IL
ATHGunnar HoglundSP
60-Day-IL
ATHJacob WilsonSS
10-Day-IL
ATHMax Muncy3B
10-Day-IL
ATHBrooks KriskeRP
15-Day-IL
ATHWei-En LinP
Day-To-Day