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MLB Matchup

Guardians @ Brewers

Wed, Jun 17 11:40 PMAmerican Family FieldESPN Unlmtd
Final
CLE 4 - 9 MIL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CLE +1.5·MIL -1.5
Moneyline
CLE +104·MIL -126
Total
7.5
Guardians
Away
Guardians
54-53
27-27 road
L
L
L
L
L
Brewers
Home
Brewers
66-40
36-20 home
L
W
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Gavin Williams (9-3, 3.32 ERA) vs Brandon Sproat (1-4, 5.70 ERA) is a significant 2.38-run ERA gap favoring Cleveland's starter, but Milwaukee's superior team quality (.629 win%, +1.6 run differential, 3.41 team ERA) and home environment offset the pitching mismatch enough to lean the Brewers as moderate favorites.

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Starting Pitchers

Gavin Williams
CLE
Gavin Williams
(10-5, 3.78)
3.78
ERA
Brandon Sproat
MIL
Brandon Sproat
(3-6, 5.05)
5.05
ERA

Season Series — CLE 1 - MIL 2

CLE 4-2 MIL
Jun 18
CLE 9-4 MIL
Jun 17
CLE 2-1 MIL
Jun 16

Batting

0.230
#29
AVG
0.255
#4
0.680
#30
OPS
0.740
#6
104
#26
HR
98
#29
420
#29
R
535
#5
402
#29
RBI
506
#5
104
#4
SB
104
#4

Pitching

3.75
#9
ERA
3.43
#2
1.270
#12
WHIP
1.160
#3
975
#4
K
1027
#2
349
#13
BB
329
#11
38
#10
QS
33
#18
33
#2
SV
33
#2

Bullpen & Advanced

9.2
#4
K/9
9.8
#2
0.239
#12
OPP AVG
0.219
#2
0.702
#11
OPP OPS
0.653
#2
86
#1
HLD
52
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

56-51
Overall ATS
56-50
29-25
Away/Home ATS
32-24
17-35
As Favorite
42-43
39-16
As Underdog
14-7
0-0
Over/Under
0-0-3
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.9
Avg margin: +1.3

Scoring

3.93
R/G
5.05
4.09
RA/G
3.74
-0.2
DIFF
1.3

Injury Report

CLEShawn ArmstrongRP
15-Day-IL
MILKyle HarrisonSP
15-Day-IL
MILSal FrelickRF
10-Day-IL
MILBrandon LockridgeLF
60-Day-IL
MILJoel KuhnelRP
15-Day-IL
MILDL HallRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
60-Day-IL
MILRob ZastryznyRP
60-Day-IL
MILBrian FitzpatrickRP
60-Day-IL