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MLB Matchup

Guardians @ Brewers

Wed, Jun 17 11:40 PMAmerican Family FieldESPN Unlmtd
Final
CLE 4 - 9 MIL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
CLE +1.5·MIL -1.5
Moneyline
CLE +104·MIL -126
Total
7.5
Guardians
Away
Guardians
85-77
44-37 road
W
W
W
L
L
Brewers
Home
Brewers
103-59
55-26 home
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-126· moderate risk
72%

Gavin Williams (9-3, 3.32 ERA) vs Brandon Sproat (1-4, 5.70 ERA) is a significant 2.38-run ERA gap favoring Cleveland's starter, but Milwaukee's superior team quality (.629 win%, +1.6 run differential, 3.41 team ERA) and home environment offset the pitching mismatch enough to lean the Brewers as moderate favorites.

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Starting Pitchers

Gavin Williams
CLE
Gavin Williams
(14-8, 3.76)
3.76
ERA
Brandon Sproat
MIL
Brandon Sproat
(3-7, 5.57)
5.57
ERA

Batting

0.213
#19
AVG
0.250
#4
0.680
#22
OPS
0.688
#6
3
#19
HR
3
#20
23
#16
R
13
#1
22
#16
RBI
12
#1
3
#5
SB
5
#4

Pitching

3.00
#9
ERA
1.80
#5
1.110
#9
WHIP
1.090
#7
75
#2
K
32
#1
21
#16
BB
15
#15
0
#5
QS
0
#12
1
#4
SV
2
#2

Bullpen & Advanced

15.0
#3
K/9
8.2
#3
0.185
#13
OPP AVG
0.181
#5
0.558
#12
OPP OPS
0.514
#5
7
#1
HLD
1
#10

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

82-80
Overall ATS
84-78
45-36
Away/Home ATS
45-36
34-59
As Favorite
67-67
48-21
As Underdog
17-11
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-6
8-2
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.0
Avg margin: +1.3

Scoring

4.19
R/G
5.14
4.12
RA/G
3.81
0.1
DIFF
1.3

Injury Report

CLEColin HoldermanRP
15-Day-IL
CLERhys Hoskins1B
10-Day-IL
CLEAndrew WaltersRP
Out
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
60-Day-IL
MILGrant AndersonRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrian FitzpatrickRP
60-Day-IL
MILQuinn PriesterSP
60-Day-IL
MILAngel ZerpaRP
60-Day-IL