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MLB Matchup

Blue Jays @ Brewers

Thu, Apr 16 5:40 PMAmerican Family FieldMLB.TV
Final
TOR 1 - 2 MIL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TOR -1.5·MIL +1.5
Moneyline
TOR -105·MIL -115
Total
8.5
Blue Jays
Away
Blue Jays
30-33
13-20 road
W
L
L
L
L
Brewers
Home
Brewers
37-23
21-13 home
L
L
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Brewers ML
-115· high risk
62%

Milwaukee holds a +2.3 run differential edge over Toronto, a superior home record (6-5 vs 1-4 road), and a meaningful ATS advantage (+29% overall), though both starters carry ugly early-season ERAs that limit conviction.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Patrick Corbin
TOR
Patrick Corbin
(2-2, 3.98)
3.98
ERA
Brandon Sproat
MIL
Brandon Sproat
(1-4, 6.24)
6.24
ERA

Season Series — TOR 1 - MIL 2

TOR 2-1 MIL
Apr 16
TOR 2-1 MIL
Apr 15
TOR 9-7 MIL
Apr 14

Batting

0.247
#7
AVG
0.247
#7
0.694
#24
OPS
0.705
#16
59
#23
HR
44
#30
257
#21
R
301
#6
245
#22
RBI
284
#6
26
#27
SB
63
#2

Pitching

3.93
#11
ERA
3.26
#3
1.270
#16
WHIP
1.200
#5
554
#8
K
580
#3
202
#10
BB
205
#13
16
#24
QS
16
#24
17
#11
SV
19
#5

Bullpen & Advanced

9.0
#6
K/9
9.8
#1
0.242
#18
OPP AVG
0.222
#3
0.687
#10
OPP OPS
0.645
#3
44
#5
HLD
30
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

28-35
Overall ATS
35-25
13-20
Away/Home ATS
20-14
15-22
As Favorite
23-19
13-13
As Underdog
12-6
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-2
3-7
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: -0.1
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.6
Avg margin: +1.5

Scoring

4.08
R/G
5.02
4.19
RA/G
3.53
-0.1
DIFF
1.5

Injury Report

TORDylan CeaseSP
15-Day-IL
TORYimi GarciaRP
60-Day-IL
TORJoe MantiplyRP
60-Day-IL
TORAlejandro KirkC
60-Day-IL
TORLazaro EstradaRP
60-Day-IL
TORMax ScherzerSP
15-Day-IL
TORTommy NanceRP
15-Day-IL
TORShane BieberSP
60-Day-IL
MILDL HallRP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon WoodruffSP
15-Day-IL
MILGrant AndersonRP
Day-To-Day
MILLogan HendersonSP
15-Day-IL
MILRob ZastryznyRP
15-Day-IL
MILQuinn PriesterSP
15-Day-IL
MILBrandon LockridgeLF
10-Day-IL
MILAngel ZerpaRP
60-Day-IL