Blue Jays @ Red Sox

Toronto holds a meaningful ATS and win-rate advantage over a Boston team that is 12-23 (.343) ATS at home this season, and Max Scherzer's ugly 10.23 ERA is offset by Jake Bennett's own struggles at 5.28 ERA — neither starter inspires confidence, but Toronto's offense and head-to-head dominance (3-1 this season, outscoring Boston 14-2 in the last two games) tips the lean their way at plus money.