AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

Thu, Jun 18 5:35 PMFenway ParkMLB.TV
Final
TOR 4 - 3 BOS
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TOR +1.5·BOS -1.5
Moneyline
TOR +119·BOS -143
Total
9.5
Blue Jays
Away
Blue Jays
48-57
22-27 road
W
L
W
L
L
Red Sox
Home
Red Sox
53-50
24-29 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Red Sox ML
-126· moderate risk
62%

Sonny Gray's dominant 8-1 record and 3.03 ERA gives Boston a meaningful starting pitcher advantage over Trey Yesavage (3-3, 3.78), which is the clearest directional signal in an otherwise balanced matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Trey Yesavage
TOR
Trey Yesavage
(4-5, 3.92)
3.92
ERA
Sonny Gray
BOS
Sonny Gray
(12-2, 2.78)
2.78
ERA

Season Series — TOR 6 - BOS 2

TOR 6-0 BOS
Jul 25
TOR 6-4 BOS
Jul 24
TOR 4-3 BOS
Jun 18
TOR 3-0 BOS
Jun 17
TOR 6-1 BOS
Jun 16
TOR 8-1 BOS
Apr 29
TOR 3-0 BOS
Apr 28
TOR 5-0 BOS
Apr 27

Batting

0.242
#16
AVG
0.243
#15
0.683
#30
OPS
0.706
#20
104
#26
HR
98
#29
415
#30
R
432
#25
398
#30
RBI
414
#25
45
#26
SB
76
#12

Pitching

4.13
#13
ERA
3.59
#4
1.310
#18
WHIP
1.230
#7
935
#7
K
874
#17
368
#19
BB
295
#3
30
#22
QS
44
#4
31
#4
SV
28
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.1
#6
K/9
8.6
#13
0.241
#16
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.702
#10
OPP OPS
0.686
#7
65
#7
HLD
62
#9

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

46-59
Overall ATS
49-54
22-27
Away/Home ATS
23-30
25-36
As Favorite
28-37
21-23
As Underdog
21-17
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-4
3-7
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -0.5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.4
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

3.95
R/G
4.19
4.50
RA/G
3.80
-0.5
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

TORYimi GarciaRP
60-Day-IL
TORAddison BargerRF
60-Day-IL
TORJesus SanchezRF
10-Day-IL
TORMax ScherzerSP
15-Day-IL
TORPatrick CorbinSP
15-Day-IL
TORJonatan ClaseLF
10-Day-IL
TORLenyn Sosa2B
10-Day-IL
TORAnthony SantanderRF
60-Day-IL
BOSMarcelo Mayer2B
10-Day-IL
BOSGarrett CrochetSP
60-Day-IL
BOSZack KellyRP
60-Day-IL
BOSTrevor StorySS
60-Day-IL
BOSIsiah Kiner-Falefa2B
10-Day-IL
BOSTanner HouckSP
60-Day-IL
BOSJohan OviedoSP
60-Day-IL
BOSRoman AnthonyLF
60-Day-IL