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MLB Matchup

Blue Jays @ Tigers

Sat, May 16 5:10 PMComerica ParkESPN Unlmtd
Final
TOR 2 - 1 DET
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TOR -1.5·DET +1.5
Moneyline
TOR -101·DET -120
Total
8
Blue Jays
Away
Blue Jays
25-28
10-16 road
L
W
W
W
W
Tigers
Home
Tigers
20-33
13-12 home
L
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-131· high risk
68%

Detroit's dominant home split (13-6, .684 ATS at home) against Toronto's historically weak road performance (6-14, .300 ATS away) is the clearest statistical edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Mason Fluharty
TOR
Mason Fluharty
(2-0, 4.82)
4.82
ERA
Casey Mize
DET
Casey Mize
(2-3, 2.47)
2.47
ERA

Season Series — TOR 2 - DET 1

TOR 4-1 DET
May 17
TOR 2-1 DET
May 16
TOR 3-2 DET
May 15

Batting

0.243
#10
AVG
0.234
#21
0.681
#26
OPS
0.688
#22
47
#21
HR
45
#23
213
#21
R
200
#26
204
#23
RBI
189
#28
23
#26
SB
20
#28

Pitching

3.82
#10
ERA
3.97
#14
1.260
#14
WHIP
1.300
#17
481
#3
K
420
#19
161
#9
BB
177
#13
16
#18
QS
20
#8
13
#14
SV
9
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

9.4
#4
K/9
8.3
#19
0.243
#19
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.681
#10
OPP OPS
0.698
#15
35
#9
HLD
17
#27

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

25-28
Overall ATS
25-28
11-15
Away/Home ATS
16-9
15-17
As Favorite
11-18
10-11
As Underdog
14-10
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-3
7-3
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: -0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

4.04
R/G
3.83
4.15
RA/G
4.36
-0.2
DIFF
-0.6

Injury Report

TORVladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Day-To-Day
TORDylan CeaseSP
Day-To-Day
TORMax ScherzerSP
15-Day-IL
TORAddison BargerRF
10-Day-IL
TORAlejandro KirkC
10-Day-IL
TORYimi GarciaRP
60-Day-IL
TORNathan LukesRF
10-Day-IL
TORShane BieberSP
60-Day-IL
DETBrant HurterRP
15-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
15-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETTarik SkubalSP
15-Day-IL
DETGleyber Torres2B
10-Day-IL
DETJackson JobeSP
60-Day-IL
DETJavier BaezSS
10-Day-IL
DETTy MaddenSP
15-Day-IL