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MLB Matchup

Blue Jays @ Twins

Thu, Apr 30 11:40 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
TOR 1 - 7 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
TOR -1.5·MIN +1.5
Moneyline
TOR -130·MIN +108
Total
8
Blue Jays
Away
Blue Jays
25-28
10-16 road
L
W
W
W
W
Twins
Home
Twins
26-27
15-14 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Blue Jays ML
-136· moderate risk
68%

Kevin Gausman's 2.57 ERA represents a 1.37-run advantage over Bailey Ober's 3.94 ERA, giving Toronto a clear top-of-the-rotation edge as a moderate favorite at -136.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Kevin Gausman
TOR
Kevin Gausman
(4-3, 3.23)
3.23
ERA
Bailey Ober
MIN
Bailey Ober
(6-2, 3.92)
3.92
ERA

Season Series — TOR 3 - MIN 4

TOR 4-3 MIN
May 3
TOR 11-4 MIN
May 2
TOR 7-3 MIN
May 2
TOR 7-1 MIN
Apr 30
TOR 8-2 MIN
Apr 12
TOR 7-4 MIN
Apr 11
TOR 10-4 MIN
Apr 10

Batting

0.243
#10
AVG
0.238
#16
0.681
#26
OPS
0.712
#12
47
#21
HR
57
#13
213
#21
R
242
#8
204
#23
RBI
229
#7
23
#26
SB
40
#13

Pitching

3.82
#10
ERA
4.18
#19
1.260
#14
WHIP
1.320
#18
481
#3
K
400
#26
161
#9
BB
188
#19
16
#18
QS
21
#6
13
#14
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

9.4
#4
K/9
7.8
#25
0.243
#19
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.681
#10
OPP OPS
0.703
#17
35
#9
HLD
39
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

25-28
Overall ATS
29-24
11-15
Away/Home ATS
17-12
15-17
As Favorite
3-8
10-11
As Underdog
26-16
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-5
7-3
Last 10 ATS
9-1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.3
Avg margin: -0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.04
R/G
4.68
4.15
RA/G
4.60
-0.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

TORVladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
Day-To-Day
TORDylan CeaseSP
Day-To-Day
TORMax ScherzerSP
15-Day-IL
TORAddison BargerRF
10-Day-IL
TORAlejandro KirkC
10-Day-IL
TORYimi GarciaRP
60-Day-IL
TORNathan LukesRF
10-Day-IL
TORShane BieberSP
60-Day-IL
MINRyan JeffersC
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Day-To-Day
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINCody LawerysonRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL