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MLB Matchup

Mariners @ Astros

Thu, May 14 6:10 PMDaikin ParkMLB.TV
Final
SEA 8 - 3 HOU
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
SEA -1.5·HOU +1.5
Moneyline
SEA -119·HOU -102
Total
9
Mariners
Away
Mariners
47-47
20-27 road
L
L
L
W
W
Astros
Home
Astros
46-49
23-24 home
L
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mariners ML
-131· moderate risk
72%

Seattle holds a +1.4 run differential edge over Houston, owns a 3.67 team ERA vs Houston's bloated 5.61, and has won 6 of 6 head-to-head matchups this season including back-to-back blowouts of 10-2 and 3-1 in this very series.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Luis Castillo
SEA
Luis Castillo
(3-7, 4.79)
4.79
ERA
Mike Burrows
HOU
Mike Burrows
(4-9, 5.99)
5.99
ERA

Season Series — SEA 7 - HOU 1

SEA 8-3 HOU
May 14
SEA 4-3 HOU
May 14
SEA 10-2 HOU
May 13
SEA 3-1 HOU
May 12
SEA 6-2 HOU
Apr 13
SEA 6-1 HOU
Apr 12
SEA 8-7 HOU
Apr 12
SEA 9-6 HOU
Apr 11

Batting

0.230
#27
AVG
0.241
#18
0.691
#25
OPS
0.725
#15
112
#13
HR
126
#3
381
#26
R
432
#11
367
#25
RBI
412
#12
72
#10
SB
34
#28

Pitching

3.57
#4
ERA
4.78
#27
1.170
#4
WHIP
1.400
#26
806
#11
K
817
#9
235
#1
BB
414
#30
44
#2
QS
26
#22
22
#19
SV
28
#4

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#12
K/9
8.8
#9
0.238
#10
OPP AVG
0.242
#17
0.671
#4
OPP OPS
0.751
#25
53
#11
HLD
44
#20

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

36-58
Overall ATS
45-50
17-30
Away/Home ATS
22-25
33-53
As Favorite
12-25
3-5
As Underdog
33-25
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-6
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -1.2
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.3
Avg margin: -0.5

Scoring

4.05
R/G
4.55
3.84
RA/G
5.05
0.3
DIFF
-0.6

Injury Report

SEABrendan Donovan3B
10-Day-IL
SEACooper CriswellRP
60-Day-IL
SEARob RefsnyderDH
10-Day-IL
SEACarlos VargasRP
60-Day-IL
SEAWill Wilson3B
60-Day-IL
SEAMatt BrashRP
15-Day-IL
SEALogan EvansSP
60-Day-IL
HOULance McCullers Jr.SP
15-Day-IL
HOURonel BlancoSP
60-Day-IL
HOUBennett SousaRP
60-Day-IL
HOUHayden WesneskiSP
60-Day-IL
HOUKai-Wei TengRP
15-Day-IL
HOUBrandon WalterSP
60-Day-IL
HOUCarlos CorreaSS
60-Day-IL