AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Braves

Wed, Apr 15 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +141·ATL -171
Total
9
Marlins
Away
Marlins
9-9
2-6 road
L
W
L
L
L
Braves
Home
Braves
11-7
7-4 home
W
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

PICK
Braves ML
-175· moderate risk
76%

Bryce Elder's 1.02 ERA dwarfs Chris Paddack's 6.14 ERA — a 5.12-run gap that is the single largest edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-2, 6.14)
6.14
ERA
Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(1-1, 1.02)
1.02
ERA

Season Series — MIA 1 - ATL 1

MIA 6-5 ATL
Apr 14
MIA 10-4 ATL
Apr 13

Batting

0.260
#6
AVG
0.274
#2
0.731
#9
OPS
0.781
#3
13
#25
HR
21
#4
85
#9
R
100
#2
83
#8
RBI
97
#1
25
#2
SB
9
#19

Pitching

4.01
#16
ERA
2.93
#1
1.240
#11
WHIP
1.090
#2
158
#9
K
143
#18
68
#21
BB
50
#4
6
#8
QS
8
#4
5
#9
SV
5
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

9.1
#11
K/9
8.0
#23
0.216
#3
OPP AVG
0.214
#2
0.645
#7
OPP OPS
0.614
#2
9
#18
HLD
6
#23

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

7-11
Overall ATS
10-8
3-5
Away/Home ATS
6-5
3-6
As Favorite
10-7
4-5
As Underdog
0-1
0-0-1
Over/Under
0-0
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg margin: +0.3
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -1.3
Avg margin: +2.3

Scoring

4.72
R/G
5.56
4.44
RA/G
3.28
0.3
DIFF
2.3

Injury Report

MIAEsteury RuizLF
10-Day-IL
MIAMaximo AcostaSS
10-Day-IL
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAKyle StowersLF
10-Day-IL
MIAChristopher MorelLF
10-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out
ATLSean MurphyC
10-Day-IL
ATLEli WhiteRF
Day-To-Day
ATLSpencer StriderSP
15-Day-IL
ATLDanny YoungRP
60-Day-IL
ATLBlake BurkhalterRP
Day-To-Day
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLHa-Seong KimSS
10-Day-IL
ATLHurston WaldrepSP
15-Day-IL