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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Braves

Wed, Apr 15 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 3 - 6 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +135·ATL -163
Total
9
Marlins
Away
Marlins
71-70
29-43 road
L
W
W
L
W
Braves
Home
Braves
83-57
48-24 home
W
L
L
W
W

AI Analysis

WONMiami Marlins 3, Atlanta Braves 6
Braves ML
-175· moderate risk

Bryce Elder's 1.02 ERA dwarfs Chris Paddack's 6.14 ERA — a 5.12-run gap that is the single largest edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-7, 6.79)
6.79
ERA
Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(8-8, 4.11)
4.11
ERA

Season Series — MIA 2 - ATL 8

MIA 11-3 ATL
Aug 6
MIA 4-1 ATL
Aug 5
MIA 4-2 ATL
Aug 4
MIA 9-3 ATL
May 21
MIA 9-1 ATL
May 20
MIA 8-4 ATL
May 19
MIA 12-0 ATL
May 18
MIA 6-3 ATL
Apr 15
MIA 6-5 ATL
Apr 14
MIA 10-4 ATL
Apr 13

Batting

0.248
#9
AVG
0.249
#8
0.725
#10
OPS
0.725
#10
144
#24
HR
178
#7
615
#19
R
653
#9
586
#19
RBI
626
#9
146
#2
SB
76
#21

Pitching

3.96
#11
ERA
3.58
#3
1.250
#8
WHIP
1.250
#8
1142
#19
K
1187
#14
474
#16
BB
473
#15
46
#15
QS
52
#8
31
#22
SV
43
#5

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#18
K/9
8.6
#12
0.232
#6
OPP AVG
0.232
#6
0.686
#6
OPP OPS
0.685
#5
80
#10
HLD
99
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-71
Overall ATS
74-66
34-38
Away/Home ATS
39-33
32-36
As Favorite
48-56
38-35
As Underdog
26-10
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-6
4-6
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

4.36
R/G
4.66
4.26
RA/G
3.82
0.1
DIFF
0.9

Injury Report

MIAKyle Stowers1B
Day-To-Day
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAPete FairbanksRP
15-Day-IL
MIAXavier Edwards2B
10-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL