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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Braves

Wed, Apr 15 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 3 - 6 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +135·ATL -163
Total
9
Marlins
Away
Marlins
52-49
21-29 road
L
L
L
L
L
Braves
Home
Braves
58-41
30-19 home
W
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

WONMiami Marlins 3, Atlanta Braves 6
Braves ML
-175· moderate risk

Bryce Elder's 1.02 ERA dwarfs Chris Paddack's 6.14 ERA — a 5.12-run gap that is the single largest edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology.

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Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-7, 6.79)
6.79
ERA
Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(6-6, 4.06)
4.06
ERA

Season Series — MIA 2 - ATL 5

MIA 9-3 ATL
May 21
MIA 9-1 ATL
May 20
MIA 8-4 ATL
May 19
MIA 12-0 ATL
May 18
MIA 6-3 ATL
Apr 15
MIA 6-5 ATL
Apr 14
MIA 10-4 ATL
Apr 13

Batting

0.252
#7
AVG
0.250
#9
0.735
#8
OPS
0.734
#10
103
#23
HR
132
#5
452
#13
R
492
#6
435
#13
RBI
475
#5
104
#2
SB
51
#21

Pitching

4.05
#11
ERA
3.60
#7
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.230
#8
858
#12
K
832
#19
349
#17
BB
326
#12
34
#14
QS
33
#15
23
#20
SV
29
#6

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#12
K/9
8.5
#18
0.229
#5
OPP AVG
0.229
#5
0.684
#8
OPP OPS
0.679
#5
58
#10
HLD
70
#3

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

52-49
Overall ATS
54-45
25-25
Away/Home ATS
26-23
21-25
As Favorite
37-36
31-24
As Underdog
17-9
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-6
3-7
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +1.1

Scoring

4.48
R/G
4.97
4.32
RA/G
3.87
0.2
DIFF
1.1

Injury Report

MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAOtto LopezSS
Day-To-Day
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
15-Day-IL
MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
MIAJohn KingRP
15-Day-IL
MIAJosh EknessRP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRonald Acuna Jr.RF
10-Day-IL
ATLMartin PerezSP
15-Day-IL
ATLAJ Smith-ShawverSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSean MurphyC
60-Day-IL
ATLMike YastrzemskiLF
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLRobert SuarezRP
15-Day-IL