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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Braves

Wed, Apr 15 11:15 PMTruist ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 3 - 6 ATL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·ATL -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +135·ATL -163
Total
9
Marlins
Away
Marlins
80-82
33-48 road
Braves
Home
Braves
94-68
52-29 home
L
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

WONMiami Marlins 3, Atlanta Braves 6
Braves ML
-175· moderate risk

Bryce Elder's 1.02 ERA dwarfs Chris Paddack's 6.14 ERA — a 5.12-run gap that is the single largest edge in this matchup and nearly automatic per methodology.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-7, 6.79)
6.79
ERA
Bryce Elder
ATL
Bryce Elder
(8-8, 4.11)
4.11
ERA

Batting

0.249
#9
AVG
0.183
#25
0.727
#11
OPS
0.609
#4
168
#16
HR
6
#23
715
#12
R
22
#24
685
#11
RBI
20
#24
163
#3
SB
4
#25

Pitching

4.09
#12
ERA
3.14
#4
1.280
#12
WHIP
1.050
#4
1323
#12
K
60
#23
561
#20
BB
15
#4
48
#16
QS
3
#23
35
#16
SV
2
#23

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#16
K/9
8.6
#22
0.235
#11
OPP AVG
0.215
#7
0.697
#10
OPP OPS
0.659
#6
90
#8
HLD
2
#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

83-79
Overall ATS
3-0
41-40
Away/Home ATS
3-0
33-38
As Favorite
1-0
50-41
As Underdog
2-0
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-1
7-3
Last 10 ATS
3-0
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.2
ATS Win%
1.0%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: +1.7

Scoring

4.41
R/G
4.58
4.40
RA/G
3.86

Injury Report

MIAJakob MarseeCF
Out
MIATyler ZuberRP
15-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAPete FairbanksRP
15-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
ATLSpencer SchwellenbachSP
60-Day-IL
ATLSpencer StriderSP
60-Day-IL
ATLMartin PerezSP
15-Day-IL
ATLBryce ElderSP
15-Day-IL
ATLHurston WaldrepSP
60-Day-IL
ATLReynaldo LopezRP
15-Day-IL
ATLJoe JimenezRP
60-Day-IL
ATLJoey WentzRP
60-Day-IL