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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Cardinals

Sat, Jun 27 11:15 PMBusch StadiumMLB.TV
Final
MIA 5 - 1 STL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·STL -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +118·STL -142
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
67-65
26-39 road
L
W
W
W
L
Cardinals
Home
Cardinals
66-66
32-34 home
L
L
L
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-143· moderate risk
62%

Andre Pallante's 9-4 record and 3.59 ERA represents a massive pitching advantage over Ryan Gusto's 0-2 record and 6.00 ERA — a 2.41 ERA gap that is the single clearest edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Ryan Gusto
MIA
Ryan Gusto
(0-3, 4.37)
4.37
ERA
Andre Pallante
STL
Andre Pallante
(12-6, 3.57)
3.57
ERA

Season Series — MIA 4 - STL 2

MIA 2-1 STL
Jun 28
MIA 5-1 STL
Jun 27
MIA 4-0 STL
Jun 27
MIA 4-1 STL
Apr 22
MIA 5-3 STL
Apr 21
MIA 5-3 STL
Apr 20

Batting

0.249
#8
AVG
0.241
#20
0.728
#9
OPS
0.699
#24
133
#24
HR
137
#21
573
#19
R
585
#16
550
#19
RBI
570
#11
132
#2
SB
82
#17

Pitching

3.90
#9
ERA
4.14
#17
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.340
#22
1075
#18
K
1015
#24
435
#15
BB
446
#18
45
#14
QS
47
#10
30
#22
SV
38
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
7.8
#24
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.252
#25
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.721
#18
74
#10
HLD
85
#6

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-66
Overall ATS
71-61
31-34
Away/Home ATS
35-31
30-32
As Favorite
13-24
36-34
As Underdog
58-37
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-7
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.7

Scoring

4.36
R/G
4.43
4.21
RA/G
4.45
0.2
DIFF
0.0

Injury Report

MIAPete FairbanksRP
Day-To-Day
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
STLMasyn WinnSS
Day-To-Day
STLEverson PereiraRF
10-Day-IL
STLHunter DobbinsSP
15-Day-IL
STLAndre PallanteSP
15-Day-IL
STLMax RajcicRP
60-Day-IL