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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Cardinals

Sat, Jun 27 11:15 PMBusch StadiumMLB.TV
Final
MIA 5 - 1 STL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·STL -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +118·STL -142
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
52-42
21-25 road
W
W
W
W
W
Cardinals
Home
Cardinals
48-44
24-25 home
L
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Cardinals ML
-143· moderate risk
62%

Andre Pallante's 9-4 record and 3.59 ERA represents a massive pitching advantage over Ryan Gusto's 0-2 record and 6.00 ERA — a 2.41 ERA gap that is the single clearest edge in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Ryan Gusto
MIA
Ryan Gusto
(0-2, 5.55)
5.55
ERA
Andre Pallante
STL
Andre Pallante
(10-6, 3.96)
3.96
ERA

Season Series — MIA 4 - STL 2

MIA 2-1 STL
Jun 28
MIA 5-1 STL
Jun 27
MIA 4-0 STL
Jun 27
MIA 4-1 STL
Apr 22
MIA 5-3 STL
Apr 21
MIA 5-3 STL
Apr 20

Batting

0.255
#5
AVG
0.244
#13
0.745
#6
OPS
0.713
#19
95
#23
HR
105
#19
434
#10
R
420
#15
417
#10
RBI
408
#14
98
#2
SB
57
#18

Pitching

4.03
#10
ERA
4.21
#14
1.240
#9
WHIP
1.340
#20
789
#13
K
691
#28
320
#16
BB
309
#13
30
#16
QS
33
#10
23
#17
SV
27
#8

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
7.6
#28
0.228
#4
OPP AVG
0.253
#24
0.681
#5
OPP OPS
0.723
#18
55
#10
HLD
61
#5

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

51-43
Overall ATS
53-39
24-22
Away/Home ATS
27-22
21-23
As Favorite
11-12
30-20
As Underdog
42-27
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-5
6-4
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.3
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.8

Scoring

4.62
R/G
4.57
4.29
RA/G
4.53
0.3
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
MIAJohn KingRP
15-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAJosh EknessRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
STLRyne StanekRP
Day-To-Day
STLMax RajcicRP
60-Day-IL
STLRamon Urias3B
60-Day-IL