AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Dodgers

Tue, Apr 28 2:10 AMDodger StadiumESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIA 4 - 5 LAD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·LAD -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +229·LAD -286
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
41-39
14-22 road
W
L
W
W
W
Dodgers
Home
Dodgers
51-29
26-14 home
W
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-314· moderate risk
72%

Yamamoto (2-2, 2.48 ERA) vs Paddack (0-4, 6.38 ERA) is a massive 3.90 ERA delta that nearly auto-triggers a lean on the Dodgers, compounded by a significant home/road quality gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-7, 6.96)
6.96
ERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(7-5, 2.65)
2.65
ERA

Season Series — MIA 2 - LAD 1

MIA 3-2 LAD
Apr 29
MIA 2-1 LAD
Apr 29
MIA 5-4 LAD
Apr 28

Batting

0.246
#12
AVG
0.261
#1
0.713
#18
OPS
0.783
#1
72
#26
HR
108
#2
345
#16
R
419
#2
331
#17
RBI
393
#2
88
#1
SB
31
#27

Pitching

4.07
#12
ERA
3.42
#4
1.260
#12
WHIP
1.100
#1
684
#11
K
703
#9
280
#20
BB
224
#4
25
#16
QS
44
#1
21
#14
SV
20
#17

Bullpen & Advanced

8.8
#10
K/9
9.0
#6
0.229
#5
OPP AVG
0.212
#1
0.683
#6
OPP OPS
0.634
#1
43
#14
HLD
49
#7

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

41-39
Overall ATS
39-41
17-19
Away/Home ATS
17-23
17-19
As Favorite
36-41
24-20
As Underdog
3-0
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-1
6-4
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.4
Avg margin: +1.8

Scoring

4.31
R/G
5.24
4.30
RA/G
3.45
0.0
DIFF
1.7

Injury Report

MIAEury PerezSP
15-Day-IL
MIALiam HicksC
10-Day-IL
MIAJanson JunkSP
15-Day-IL
MIAJosh EknessRP
60-Day-IL
MIAThomas WhiteSP
Day-To-Day
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
LADKyle TuckerRF
Day-To-Day
LADDalton RushingC
Day-To-Day
LADKendall GeorgeCF
Out
LADBlake SnellSP
60-Day-IL
LADTeoscar HernandezLF
10-Day-IL
LADWill SmithC
10-Day-IL
LADBlake TreinenRP
15-Day-IL
LADEdwin DiazRP
60-Day-IL