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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Dodgers

Tue, Apr 28 2:10 AMDodger StadiumESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIA 4 - 5 LAD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·LAD -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +229·LAD -286
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
14-16
4-10 road
W
L
L
L
W
Dodgers
Home
Dodgers
20-10
12-5 home
L
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-314· moderate risk
72%

Yamamoto (2-2, 2.48 ERA) vs Paddack (0-4, 6.38 ERA) is a massive 3.90 ERA delta that nearly auto-triggers a lean on the Dodgers, compounded by a significant home/road quality gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-4, 6.11)
6.11
ERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(2-2, 2.87)
2.87
ERA

Season Series — MIA 1 - LAD 1

MIA 2-1 LAD
Apr 29
MIA 5-4 LAD
Apr 28

Batting

0.252
#6
AVG
0.274
#1
0.712
#12
OPS
0.807
#1
21
#27
HR
45
#2
132
#16
R
165
#2
126
#17
RBI
157
#2
34
#2
SB
16
#22

Pitching

3.97
#12
ERA
3.19
#3
1.270
#11
WHIP
1.110
#1
253
#13
K
264
#8
112
#21
BB
90
#5
9
#14
QS
19
#1
9
#9
SV
7
#17

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#15
K/9
9.0
#8
0.223
#6
OPP AVG
0.211
#2
0.663
#5
OPP OPS
0.628
#1
19
#11
HLD
16
#18

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

13-17
Overall ATS
15-15
6-8
Away/Home ATS
7-10
6-8
As Favorite
15-15
7-9
As Underdog
0-0
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-1
6-4
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -1.5
Avg margin: +2.2

Scoring

4.40
R/G
5.50
4.40
RA/G
3.27
0.0
DIFF
2.2

Injury Report

MIALiam HicksC
Day-To-Day
MIAPete FairbanksRP
15-Day-IL
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out
LADLandon KnackSP
60-Day-IL
LADMookie BettsSS
10-Day-IL
LADTommy Edman2B
10-Day-IL
LADBlake SnellSP
15-Day-IL
LADBrusdar GraterolRP
15-Day-IL
LADEdwin DiazRP
15-Day-IL
LADBrock StewartRP
15-Day-IL
LADBen CaspariusRP
15-Day-IL