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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Dodgers

Tue, Apr 28 2:10 AMDodger StadiumESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIA 4 - 5 LAD
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·LAD -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +229·LAD -286
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
67-64
26-39 road
W
W
W
L
L
Dodgers
Home
Dodgers
80-51
40-26 home
W
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Dodgers ML
-314· moderate risk
72%

Yamamoto (2-2, 2.48 ERA) vs Paddack (0-4, 6.38 ERA) is a massive 3.90 ERA delta that nearly auto-triggers a lean on the Dodgers, compounded by a significant home/road quality gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Chris Paddack
MIA
Chris Paddack
(0-7, 6.79)
6.79
ERA
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(12-7, 2.61)
2.61
ERA

Season Series — MIA 2 - LAD 1

MIA 3-2 LAD
Apr 29
MIA 2-1 LAD
Apr 29
MIA 5-4 LAD
Apr 28

Batting

0.249
#7
AVG
0.259
#2
0.728
#9
OPS
0.763
#1
133
#24
HR
167
#7
567
#19
R
649
#4
544
#18
RBI
614
#4
132
#2
SB
51
#28

Pitching

3.92
#9
ERA
3.70
#6
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.160
#2
1068
#18
K
1183
#5
432
#15
BB
404
#10
45
#14
QS
69
#1
30
#22
SV
37
#9

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
9.2
#5
0.232
#7
OPP AVG
0.218
#1
0.684
#6
OPP OPS
0.664
#3
72
#11
HLD
86
#5

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-65
Overall ATS
55-76
31-34
Away/Home ATS
24-42
30-32
As Favorite
52-74
36-33
As Underdog
3-2
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-2
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -1.4
Avg margin: +1.2

Scoring

4.37
R/G
4.98
4.21
RA/G
3.83
0.2
DIFF
1.2

Injury Report

MIAKyle Stowers1B
10-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
LADWill SmithC
60-Day-IL
LADJake CousinsRP
60-Day-IL
LADAndy PagesCF
10-Day-IL
LADJustin WrobleskiSP
15-Day-IL
LADEdwin DiazRP
15-Day-IL
LADTyler GlasnowSP
60-Day-IL
LADWill KleinRP
15-Day-IL
LADGavin StoneSP
60-Day-IL