AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Phillies

Tue, Jun 16 10:40 PMCitizens Bank ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 2 - 8 PHI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·PHI -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +153·PHI -186
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
52-54
21-31 road
L
L
L
L
L
Phillies
Home
Phillies
57-49
28-27 home
W
L
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Phillies ML
-175· moderate risk
62%

Tyler Phillips (1-1, 1.86 ERA) is a small-sample outlier facing Jesus Luzardo (5-4, 4.35 ERA), but the Phillies hold a clear home-field advantage, are 4-1 in the season series, and just dominated Miami 7-0 the night prior with momentum firmly on their side.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Tyler Phillips
MIA
Tyler Phillips
(2-5, 3.52)
3.52
ERA
Jesus Luzardo
PHI
Jesus Luzardo
(9-5, 3.31)
3.31
ERA

Season Series — MIA 2 - PHI 5

MIA 12-4 PHI
Jun 17
MIA 8-2 PHI
Jun 16
MIA 7-0 PHI
Jun 15
MIA 1-0 PHI
May 4
MIA 7-2 PHI
May 3
MIA 4-0 PHI
May 2
MIA 6-5 PHI
May 1

Batting

0.250
#8
AVG
0.236
#23
0.729
#10
OPS
0.704
#23
107
#24
HR
136
#6
464
#17
R
460
#18
446
#17
RBI
445
#18
114
#2
SB
79
#10

Pitching

4.09
#10
ERA
4.21
#17
1.260
#9
WHIP
1.300
#14
887
#16
K
1040
#1
362
#17
BB
307
#5
35
#14
QS
46
#3
23
#24
SV
29
#12

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#14
K/9
10.0
#1
0.232
#7
OPP AVG
0.253
#25
0.689
#9
OPP OPS
0.728
#21
60
#11
HLD
41
#27

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

52-54
Overall ATS
41-65
25-27
Away/Home ATS
22-33
21-28
As Favorite
35-47
31-26
As Underdog
6-18
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-5
1-9
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: -0.1

Scoring

4.38
R/G
4.34
4.36
RA/G
4.44
0.0
DIFF
-0.1

Injury Report

MIAMichael PetersenRP
Day-To-Day
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
MIAJosh EknessRP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
15-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
PHITanner BanksRP
60-Day-IL
PHIBrad KellerRP
60-Day-IL
PHIRafael MarchanC
10-Day-IL
PHIGarrett StubbsC
10-Day-IL
PHILou TrivinoRP
15-Day-IL
PHIJohan RojasCF
60-Day-IL
PHIAdolis GarciaRF
60-Day-IL