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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Rays

Fri, May 15 11:10 PMTropicana FieldESPN Unlmtd
Final
MIA 2 - 7 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +107·TB -128
Total
8
Marlins
Away
Marlins
25-29
7-14 road
W
W
W
L
L
Rays
Home
Rays
34-16
19-5 home
L
W
W
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-126· moderate risk
68%

Tampa Bay's elite home record (14-4, .722 ATS) against Miami's weak road performance (6-12 SU, 8-10 ATS) creates a meaningful structural edge at a moderate price of -126.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Janson Junk
MIA
Janson Junk
(2-5, 5.07)
5.07
ERA
Jesse Scholtens
TB
Jesse Scholtens
(5-2, 3.22)
3.22
ERA

Season Series — MIA 1 - TB 2

MIA 6-3 TB
May 17
MIA 10-5 TB
May 16
MIA 7-2 TB
May 15

Batting

0.243
#10
AVG
0.261
#2
0.696
#18
OPS
0.724
#6
44
#26
HR
41
#28
227
#15
R
236
#9
216
#16
RBI
222
#11
62
#1
SB
53
#4

Pitching

4.26
#22
ERA
3.54
#5
1.270
#15
WHIP
1.190
#4
446
#12
K
381
#28
195
#24
BB
152
#4
17
#16
QS
15
#20
13
#14
SV
23
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
7.7
#27
0.227
#8
OPP AVG
0.227
#8
0.682
#11
OPP OPS
0.667
#5
25
#22
HLD
42
#2

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

24-30
Overall ATS
32-18
9-12
Away/Home ATS
18-6
10-15
As Favorite
19-10
14-15
As Underdog
13-8
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.8

Scoring

4.28
R/G
4.72
4.48
RA/G
3.92
-0.2
DIFF
0.8

Injury Report

MIAConnor Norby1B
Day-To-Day
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAThomas WhiteSP
Day-To-Day
MIAKemp AldermanRF
Day-To-Day
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
TBJonny DeLucaRF
10-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
10-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
10-Day-IL
TBAustin VernonRP
Day-To-Day
TBSteven WilsonRP
60-Day-IL
TBLogan DriscollC
Day-To-Day