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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Reds

Sun, Aug 16 5:40 PMGreat American Ball ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 7 - 1 CIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA -1.5·CIN +1.5
Moneyline
MIA -118·CIN +110
Total
8.5
Marlins
Away
Marlins
67-64
26-39 road
W
W
W
L
L
Reds
Home
Reds
62-69
32-36 home
L
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Marlins ML
-118· moderate risk
68%

Eury Perez holds a 1.47 ERA advantage (3.39 vs 4.86) over Nick Lodolo, backed by Miami's superior team ERA (3.95 vs 4.50) and lower opponent OPS allowed (0.685 vs 0.745)

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Eury Perez
MIA
Eury Perez
(7-9, 3.17)
3.17
ERA
Nick Lodolo
CIN
Nick Lodolo
(3-3, 5.04)
5.04
ERA

Season Series — MIA 4 - CIN 3

MIA 7-1 CIN
Aug 16
MIA 8-4 CIN
Aug 15
MIA 1-0 CIN
Aug 14
MIA 8-1 CIN
Apr 9
MIA 7-4 CIN
Apr 8
MIA 6-3 CIN
Apr 7
MIA 2-0 CIN
Apr 6

Batting

0.249
#8
AVG
0.227
#30
0.728
#9
OPS
0.699
#24
133
#24
HR
169
#6
573
#19
R
537
#24
550
#19
RBI
513
#25
132
#2
SB
89
#14

Pitching

3.90
#9
ERA
4.52
#24
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.410
#28
1075
#18
K
1054
#21
435
#15
BB
543
#30
45
#14
QS
44
#16
30
#22
SV
33
#16

Bullpen & Advanced

8.4
#17
K/9
8.1
#22
0.231
#5
OPP AVG
0.248
#20
0.682
#6
OPP OPS
0.747
#26
74
#10
HLD
73
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

66-65
Overall ATS
67-64
31-34
Away/Home ATS
32-36
30-32
As Favorite
19-22
36-33
As Underdog
48-42
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-2
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.6
Avg margin: -0.7

Scoring

4.37
R/G
4.10
4.21
RA/G
4.82
0.2
DIFF
-0.7

Injury Report

MIAKyle Stowers1B
10-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
CINMichael Toglia1B
10-Day-IL
CINBrandon WilliamsonSP
60-Day-IL
CINSpencer Steer1B
10-Day-IL
CINHunter GreeneSP
60-Day-IL
CINBlake DunnCF
60-Day-IL
CINGraham AshcraftRP
60-Day-IL