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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Tigers

Sun, Apr 12 5:40 PMComerica ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 2 - 8 DET
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·DET -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +141·DET -171
Total
6
Marlins
Away
Marlins
52-49
21-29 road
L
L
L
L
L
Tigers
Home
Tigers
47-53
27-23 home
W
L
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-181· moderate risk
72%

Tarik Skubal's 2.55 ERA vs Sandy Alcantara's 0.74 ERA is misleading in isolation, but Detroit's dominant home splits (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS at .800), a 2-0 series sweep of Miami already this week, and Miami's brutal road record (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS at .200) create a multi-layered home advantage that outweighs the pitcher ERA gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Sandy Alcantara
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
(10-5, 3.89)
3.89
ERA
Tarik Skubal
DET
Tarik Skubal
(6-5, 2.83)
2.83
ERA

Season Series — MIA 0 - DET 3

MIA 8-2 DET
Apr 12
MIA 6-1 DET
Apr 11
MIA 2-0 DET
Apr 10

Batting

0.252
#7
AVG
0.235
#25
0.735
#8
OPS
0.712
#19
103
#23
HR
122
#13
452
#13
R
426
#21
435
#13
RBI
406
#21
104
#2
SB
33
#30

Pitching

4.05
#11
ERA
3.59
#6
1.250
#9
WHIP
1.220
#7
858
#12
K
839
#17
349
#17
BB
298
#7
34
#14
QS
38
#6
23
#20
SV
19
#26

Bullpen & Advanced

8.7
#12
K/9
8.6
#15
0.229
#5
OPP AVG
0.234
#7
0.684
#8
OPP OPS
0.681
#7
58
#10
HLD
42
#24

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

52-49
Overall ATS
53-47
25-25
Away/Home ATS
31-19
21-25
As Favorite
22-33
31-24
As Underdog
31-14
0-0-3
Over/Under
0-0-4
3-7
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.3

Scoring

4.48
R/G
4.26
4.32
RA/G
3.93
0.2
DIFF
0.4

Injury Report

MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAOtto LopezSS
Day-To-Day
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
15-Day-IL
MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
MIAJohn KingRP
15-Day-IL
MIAJosh EknessRP
60-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
Day-To-Day
DETJavier BaezSS
60-Day-IL
DETJackson JobeSP
60-Day-IL
DETCasey MizeSP
Day-To-Day
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETBailey HornRP
60-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
60-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL