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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Tigers

Sun, Apr 12 5:40 PMComerica ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 2 - 8 DET
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·DET -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +141·DET -171
Total
6
Marlins
Away
Marlins
76-79
31-46 road
L
L
W
W
L
Tigers
Home
Tigers
73-82
39-36 home
L
W
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-181· moderate risk
72%

Tarik Skubal's 2.55 ERA vs Sandy Alcantara's 0.74 ERA is misleading in isolation, but Detroit's dominant home splits (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS at .800), a 2-0 series sweep of Miami already this week, and Miami's brutal road record (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS at .200) create a multi-layered home advantage that outweighs the pitcher ERA gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Sandy Alcantara
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
(13-10, 3.84)
3.84
ERA
Tarik Skubal
DET
Tarik Skubal
(11-7, 2.85)
2.85
ERA

Season Series — MIA 0 - DET 3

MIA 8-2 DET
Apr 12
MIA 6-1 DET
Apr 11
MIA 2-0 DET
Apr 10

Batting

0.249
#7
AVG
0.241
#20
0.729
#8
OPS
0.718
#15
160
#23
HR
173
#19
689
#16
R
696
#13
659
#16
RBI
661
#15
159
#2
SB
55
#29

Pitching

4.14
#15
ERA
3.63
#6
1.290
#14
WHIP
1.220
#5
1259
#19
K
1246
#22
540
#18
BB
485
#10
47
#20
QS
55
#10
33
#25
SV
31
#27

Bullpen & Advanced

8.3
#17
K/9
8.2
#20
0.237
#10
OPP AVG
0.232
#5
0.701
#11
OPP OPS
0.684
#5
87
#11
HLD
70
#27

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

78-77
Overall ATS
81-74
38-39
Away/Home ATS
41-34
32-38
As Favorite
35-51
46-39
As Underdog
46-23
0-0-4
Over/Under
0-0-8
6-4
Last 10 ATS
7-3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: +0.5

Scoring

4.45
R/G
4.49
4.44
RA/G
4.01
0.0
DIFF
0.5

Injury Report

MIAXavier Edwards2B
Day-To-Day
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAPete FairbanksRP
15-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIAOwen CaissieRF
10-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
DETKyle FinneganRP
15-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETJack FlahertySP
15-Day-IL
DETWenceel PerezRF
60-Day-IL
DETMatt VierlingCF
60-Day-IL
DETWill VestRP
60-Day-IL
DETBurch SmithRP
60-Day-IL