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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Tigers

Sun, Apr 12 5:40 PMComerica ParkMLB.TV
Final
MIA 2 - 8 DET
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA +1.5·DET -1.5
Moneyline
MIA +141·DET -171
Total
6
Marlins
Away
Marlins
26-32
8-17 road
L
L
L
W
W
Tigers
Home
Tigers
22-36
14-14 home
L
L
W
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Tigers ML
-181· moderate risk
72%

Tarik Skubal's 2.55 ERA vs Sandy Alcantara's 0.74 ERA is misleading in isolation, but Detroit's dominant home splits (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS at .800), a 2-0 series sweep of Miami already this week, and Miami's brutal road record (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS at .200) create a multi-layered home advantage that outweighs the pitcher ERA gap.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Sandy Alcantara
MIA
Sandy Alcantara
(3-4, 4.66)
4.66
ERA
Tarik Skubal
DET
Tarik Skubal
(3-2, 2.70)
2.70
ERA

Season Series — MIA 0 - DET 3

MIA 8-2 DET
Apr 12
MIA 6-1 DET
Apr 11
MIA 2-0 DET
Apr 10

Batting

0.246
#7
AVG
0.231
#23
0.700
#16
OPS
0.682
#26
46
#27
HR
50
#24
248
#14
R
221
#26
236
#15
RBI
209
#27
68
#1
SB
21
#28

Pitching

4.24
#19
ERA
4.01
#15
1.270
#15
WHIP
1.290
#17
490
#11
K
470
#15
208
#20
BB
196
#14
17
#19
QS
22
#8
13
#20
SV
10
#25

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#11
K/9
8.3
#17
0.228
#7
OPP AVG
0.239
#14
0.684
#10
OPP OPS
0.696
#13
26
#22
HLD
22
#26

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

26-32
Overall ATS
27-31
11-14
Away/Home ATS
17-11
10-17
As Favorite
11-21
16-15
As Underdog
16-10
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-3
5-5
Last 10 ATS
4-6
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.2
Avg margin: -0.6

Scoring

4.28
R/G
3.81
4.53
RA/G
4.36
-0.2
DIFF
-0.6

Injury Report

MIAEury PerezSP
15-Day-IL
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAKemp AldermanRF
Day-To-Day
MIAThomas WhiteSP
Day-To-Day
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
DETBrant HurterRP
60-Day-IL
DETCasey MizeSP
15-Day-IL
DETKenley JansenRP
15-Day-IL
DETTarik SkubalSP
15-Day-IL
DETGleyber Torres2B
10-Day-IL
DETKerry CarpenterRF
10-Day-IL
DETJustin VerlanderSP
60-Day-IL
DETTy MaddenSP
15-Day-IL