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MLB Matchup

Marlins @ Twins

Thu, May 14 5:40 PMTarget FieldMLB.TV
Final
MIA 1 - 9 MIN
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
MIA -1.5·MIN +1.5
Moneyline
MIA -115·MIN -105
Total
9
Marlins
Away
Marlins
25-29
7-14 road
W
W
W
L
L
Twins
Home
Twins
26-27
15-14 home
W
W
W
W
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Marlins ML
+104· high risk
60%

Miami carries a meaningfully better team ERA (4.06 vs 4.57) and superior opponent OPS allowed (0.669 vs 0.732), giving them a clear pitching staff advantage over a Twins rotation decimated by injuries.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Braxton Garrett
MIA
Braxton Garrett
(0-1, 14.54)
14.54
ERA
Zebby Matthews
MIN
Zebby Matthews
(1-1, 1.38)
1.38
ERA

Season Series — MIA 1 - MIN 2

MIA 9-1 MIN
May 14
MIA 9-5 MIN
May 13
MIA 3-0 MIN
May 12

Batting

0.243
#10
AVG
0.238
#16
0.696
#18
OPS
0.712
#12
44
#26
HR
57
#13
227
#15
R
242
#8
216
#16
RBI
229
#7
62
#1
SB
40
#13

Pitching

4.26
#22
ERA
4.18
#19
1.270
#15
WHIP
1.320
#18
446
#12
K
400
#26
195
#24
BB
188
#19
17
#16
QS
21
#6
13
#14
SV
13
#14

Bullpen & Advanced

8.6
#13
K/9
7.8
#25
0.227
#8
OPP AVG
0.240
#15
0.682
#11
OPP OPS
0.703
#17
25
#22
HLD
39
#4

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

24-30
Overall ATS
29-24
9-12
Away/Home ATS
17-12
10-15
As Favorite
3-8
14-15
As Underdog
26-16
0-0-2
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
9-1
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

4.28
R/G
4.68
4.48
RA/G
4.60
-0.2
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

MIAConnor Norby1B
Day-To-Day
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAThomas WhiteSP
Day-To-Day
MIAKemp AldermanRF
Day-To-Day
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL
MIAJesus TinocoRP
Out
MIAGriffin ConineLF
10-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MINRyan JeffersC
10-Day-IL
MINGarrett ActonRP
60-Day-IL
MINWalker JenkinsCF
Day-To-Day
MINDavid FestaSP
60-Day-IL
MINCole SandsRP
15-Day-IL
MINMick AbelSP
15-Day-IL
MINCody LawerysonRP
15-Day-IL
MINPablo LopezSP
60-Day-IL