AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Mets @ Diamondbacks

Sat, May 9 11:15 PMChase FieldMLB.TV
Final
NYM 1 - 2 ARI
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
NYM -1.5·ARI +1.5
Moneyline
NYM -110·ARI -110
Total
9.5
Mets
Away
Mets
22-31
11-18 road
L
L
L
W
L
Diamondbacks
Home
Diamondbacks
28-24
18-10 home
W
W
L
W
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Mets ML
-120· moderate risk
68%

Clay Holmes (4-2, 1.69 ERA) presents a massive pitching advantage over Merrill Kelly (1-3, 9.95 ERA), an ERA delta of 8.26 runs — one of the largest starter mismatches you will see in a single game.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Clay Holmes
NYM
Clay Holmes
(4-4, 2.39)
2.39
ERA
Merrill Kelly
ARI
Merrill Kelly
(4-3, 5.71)
5.71
ERA

Season Series — NYM 2 - ARI 4

NYM 5-1 ARI
May 10
NYM 2-1 ARI
May 9
NYM 3-1 ARI
May 9
NYM 7-1 ARI
Apr 9
NYM 7-2 ARI
Apr 8
NYM 4-3 ARI
Apr 7

Batting

0.228
#25
AVG
0.246
#6
0.645
#30
OPS
0.710
#13
46
#22
HR
45
#23
206
#25
R
230
#11
196
#25
RBI
221
#12
27
#21
SB
35
#17

Pitching

3.84
#12
ERA
4.14
#16
1.280
#16
WHIP
1.260
#14
481
#3
K
368
#30
188
#19
BB
153
#5
13
#22
QS
18
#13
8
#28
SV
14
#10

Bullpen & Advanced

9.3
#5
K/9
7.4
#29
0.233
#11
OPP AVG
0.241
#18
0.679
#9
OPP OPS
0.706
#18
20
#25
HLD
36
#8

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

20-33
Overall ATS
31-21
11-18
Away/Home ATS
17-11
12-28
As Favorite
10-8
8-5
As Underdog
21-13
0-0-5
Over/Under
0-0-4
3-7
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.4%
Avg spread: -0.8
Avg margin: -0.4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.5
Avg margin: +0.1

Scoring

3.89
R/G
4.60
4.28
RA/G
4.46
-0.4
DIFF
0.1

Injury Report

NYMJuan SotoLF
Day-To-Day
NYMKodai SengaSP
15-Day-IL
NYMA.J. MinterRP
60-Day-IL
NYMClay HolmesSP
60-Day-IL
NYMMike TauchmanRF
Day-To-Day
NYMJared Young1B
10-Day-IL
NYMFrancisco LindorSS
10-Day-IL
NYMJorge Polanco1B
10-Day-IL
ARILourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
10-Day-IL
ARIDerek LawRP
Day-To-Day
ARISpencer GiestingSP
Day-To-Day
ARIA.J. PukRP
60-Day-IL
ARICorbin BurnesSP
60-Day-IL
ARIJames McCannC
10-Day-IL
ARIJordan LawlarLF
60-Day-IL
ARIPavin Smith1B
60-Day-IL