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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Marlins

Fri, Aug 21 11:10 PMloanDepot parkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 2 - 3 MIA
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·MIA -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +132·MIA -142
Total
7.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
61-71
34-35 road
L
L
L
L
W
Marlins
Home
Marlins
67-64
41-25 home
W
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Nationals ML
+132· moderate risk
60%

Washington holds a meaningful ATS road edge (.636, 42-24) and a superior starting pitcher (Brad Lord 4.04 ERA vs Ryan Gusto 4.70 ERA) while being priced as a +132 underdog, creating modest moneyline value.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Brad Lord
WSH
Brad Lord
(5-2, 3.88)
3.88
ERA
Ryan Gusto
MIA
Ryan Gusto
(0-3, 4.37)
4.37
ERA

Season Series — WSH 1 - MIA 8

WSH 6-2 MIA
Aug 23
WSH 4-2 MIA
Aug 22
WSH 3-2 MIA
Aug 21
WSH 4-1 MIA
Jun 3
WSH 7-3 MIA
Jun 2
WSH 7-3 MIA
Jun 1
WSH 5-2 MIA
May 10
WSH 8-7 MIA
May 9
WSH 3-2 MIA
May 8

Batting

0.248
#8
AVG
0.249
#7
0.756
#3
OPS
0.728
#9
183
#1
HR
133
#24
680
#1
R
567
#19
650
#1
RBI
544
#18
139
#1
SB
132
#2

Pitching

4.67
#27
ERA
3.92
#9
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.250
#9
1005
#25
K
1068
#18
461
#20
BB
432
#15
29
#27
QS
45
#14
33
#16
SV
30
#22

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
8.4
#17
0.257
#28
OPP AVG
0.232
#7
0.762
#27
OPP OPS
0.684
#6
67
#19
HLD
72
#11

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

75-57
Overall ATS
66-65
43-26
Away/Home ATS
35-31
13-11
As Favorite
30-32
62-46
As Underdog
36-33
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-4
5-5
Last 10 ATS
5-5
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.0
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

5.17
R/G
4.37
5.09
RA/G
4.21
0.1
DIFF
0.2

Injury Report

WSHCJ AbramsSS
Day-To-Day
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
MIAKyle Stowers1B
10-Day-IL
MIAAnthony BenderRP
15-Day-IL
MIAWilliam KempnerRP
60-Day-IL
MIAAndrew NardiRP
60-Day-IL
MIAMax MeyerSP
15-Day-IL
MIARobby SnellingSP
60-Day-IL
MIAAdam MazurSP
60-Day-IL
MIARonny HenriquezRP
60-Day-IL