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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Orioles

Sun, Jun 28 5:35 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsMLB.TV
Final
WSH 6 - 4 BAL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BAL -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +168·BAL -205
Total
9.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
62-71
34-35 road
W
L
L
L
L
Orioles
Home
Orioles
63-68
34-34 home
L
W
W
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Orioles ML
-194· moderate risk
60%

Kyle Bradish's 3.64 ERA represents a meaningful 1.76-run advantage over Zack Littell's 5.40 ERA, clearing the 1.5+ delta threshold for a significant pitching edge favoring Baltimore at home.

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Starting Pitchers

Zack Littell
WSH
Zack Littell
(8-8, 5.21)
5.21
ERA
Kyle Bradish
BAL
Kyle Bradish
(7-12, 3.70)
3.70
ERA

Season Series — WSH 4 - BAL 2

WSH 6-4 BAL
Jun 28
WSH 4-3 BAL
Jun 27
WSH 3-1 BAL
Jun 26
WSH 7-3 BAL
May 17
WSH 13-3 BAL
May 16
WSH 3-2 BAL
May 15

Batting

0.248
#9
AVG
0.235
#26
0.754
#3
OPS
0.713
#20
183
#1
HR
159
#10
682
#2
R
583
#17
652
#1
RBI
563
#15
139
#1
SB
68
#21

Pitching

4.68
#27
ERA
4.19
#20
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.340
#22
1013
#25
K
1038
#23
467
#20
BB
435
#15
29
#27
QS
51
#7
33
#16
SV
34
#15

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
8.0
#23
0.257
#27
OPP AVG
0.254
#26
0.761
#27
OPP OPS
0.730
#22
67
#19
HLD
68
#17

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

76-57
Overall ATS
69-62
43-26
Away/Home ATS
36-32
14-11
As Favorite
25-35
62-46
As Underdog
44-27
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

5.23
R/G
4.45
5.08
RA/G
4.72
0.1
DIFF
-0.2

Injury Report

WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALBlaze Alexander3B
10-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALKeegan AkinRP
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL
BALZach EflinSP
60-Day-IL