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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Orioles

Sun, Jun 28 5:35 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsMLB.TV
Final
WSH 6 - 4 BAL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BAL -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +168·BAL -205
Total
9.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
48-46
28-18 road
W
L
W
L
L
Orioles
Home
Orioles
44-51
26-25 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Orioles ML
-194· moderate risk
60%

Kyle Bradish's 3.64 ERA represents a meaningful 1.76-run advantage over Zack Littell's 5.40 ERA, clearing the 1.5+ delta threshold for a significant pitching edge favoring Baltimore at home.

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Starting Pitchers

Zack Littell
WSH
Zack Littell
(7-6, 5.02)
5.02
ERA
Kyle Bradish
BAL
Kyle Bradish
(5-9, 3.75)
3.75
ERA

Season Series — WSH 4 - BAL 2

WSH 6-4 BAL
Jun 28
WSH 4-3 BAL
Jun 27
WSH 3-1 BAL
Jun 26
WSH 7-3 BAL
May 17
WSH 13-3 BAL
May 16
WSH 3-2 BAL
May 15

Batting

0.251
#8
AVG
0.238
#21
0.760
#3
OPS
0.715
#17
132
#2
HR
109
#16
508
#1
R
428
#13
484
#1
RBI
414
#11
100
#1
SB
48
#21

Pitching

4.76
#26
ERA
4.37
#21
1.390
#24
WHIP
1.370
#23
744
#21
K
739
#22
330
#19
BB
330
#19
18
#28
QS
33
#10
27
#8
SV
21
#21

Bullpen & Advanced

7.9
#24
K/9
8.0
#23
0.259
#27
OPP AVG
0.254
#25
0.759
#26
OPP OPS
0.740
#23
52
#12
HLD
51
#14

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

57-37
Overall ATS
46-48
33-13
Away/Home ATS
26-24
6-6
As Favorite
17-30
51-31
As Underdog
29-18
0-0-6
Over/Under
0-0-4
6-4
Last 10 ATS
3-7
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +1.1
Avg margin: +0.1
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

5.40
R/G
4.56
5.27
RA/G
4.87
0.1
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

WSHBrad LordRP
15-Day-IL
WSHTrevor WilliamsSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJake IrvinSP
15-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHMax KranickRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
BALKeegan AkinRP
15-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
15-Day-IL
BALYaramil HiraldoRP
60-Day-IL
BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALChris BassittSP
15-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALJordan Westburg3B
60-Day-IL