AiAlpha.bet
MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Orioles

Sun, Jun 28 5:35 PMOriole Park at Camden YardsMLB.TV
Final
WSH 6 - 4 BAL
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·BAL -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +168·BAL -205
Total
9.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
59-61
33-27 road
W
W
W
L
W
Orioles
Home
Orioles
57-61
32-30 home
W
L
L
L
W

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Orioles ML
-194· moderate risk
60%

Kyle Bradish's 3.64 ERA represents a meaningful 1.76-run advantage over Zack Littell's 5.40 ERA, clearing the 1.5+ delta threshold for a significant pitching edge favoring Baltimore at home.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Zack Littell
WSH
Zack Littell
(7-8, 4.97)
4.97
ERA
Kyle Bradish
BAL
Kyle Bradish
(7-11, 3.69)
3.69
ERA

Season Series — WSH 4 - BAL 2

WSH 6-4 BAL
Jun 28
WSH 4-3 BAL
Jun 27
WSH 3-1 BAL
Jun 26
WSH 7-3 BAL
May 17
WSH 13-3 BAL
May 16
WSH 3-2 BAL
May 15

Batting

0.251
#6
AVG
0.235
#25
0.767
#1
OPS
0.714
#19
171
#1
HR
138
#15
643
#1
R
528
#14
614
#1
RBI
510
#13
130
#1
SB
64
#20

Pitching

4.71
#27
ERA
4.19
#19
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.330
#20
904
#25
K
936
#22
417
#19
BB
393
#14
27
#27
QS
46
#8
33
#10
SV
30
#15

Bullpen & Advanced

7.6
#27
K/9
8.0
#23
0.259
#27
OPP AVG
0.251
#24
0.763
#27
OPP OPS
0.728
#22
63
#14
HLD
61
#17

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

70-50
Overall ATS
62-56
39-21
Away/Home ATS
34-28
13-11
As Favorite
23-33
57-39
As Underdog
39-23
0-0-7
Over/Under
0-0-5
4-6
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: +0.1
Avg margin: -0.3

Scoring

5.36
R/G
4.47
5.16
RA/G
4.75
0.2
DIFF
-0.3

Injury Report

WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
15-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
BALRyan HelsleyRP
60-Day-IL
BALBlaze Alexander3B
10-Day-IL
BALFelix BautistaRP
60-Day-IL
BALSamuel BasalloC
10-Day-IL
BALChris BassittSP
60-Day-IL
BALColin SelbyRP
60-Day-IL
BALRyan Mountcastle1B
60-Day-IL
BALKeegan AkinRP
60-Day-IL