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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Pirates

Tue, Apr 14 10:40 PMPNC ParkMLB.TV
Final
WSH 5 - 4 PIT
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·PIT -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +157·PIT -192
Total
10
Nationals
Away
Nationals
77-85
38-43 road
Pirates
Home
Pirates
82-80
44-37 home

AI Analysis

LOSTWashington Nationals 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 4
Pirates ML
-186· moderate risk

Mitch Keller's 1.00 ERA vs. Miles Mikolas's 12.41 ERA represents a historically extreme starter quality gap that overwhelms nearly every other factor in this matchup.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

PJ Poulin
WSH
PJ Poulin
(3-0, 2.70)
2.70
ERA
Mitch Keller
PIT
Mitch Keller
(6-8, 5.29)
5.29
ERA

Batting

0.246
#12
AVG
0.253
#8
0.744
#5
OPS
0.734
#8
210
#2
HR
186
#8
821
#2
R
767
#4
777
#2
RBI
733
#4
178
#1
SB
132
#6

Pitching

4.67
#22
ERA
4.15
#14
1.390
#23
WHIP
1.300
#16
1283
#17
K
1496
#4
605
#27
BB
582
#24
36
#20
QS
47
#18
42
#10
SV
41
#12

Bullpen & Advanced

8.0
#22
K/9
9.3
#8
0.253
#22
OPP AVG
0.237
#12
0.757
#24
OPP OPS
0.699
#12
84
#12
HLD
79
#19

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

91-71
Overall ATS
80-82
50-31
Away/Home ATS
40-41
17-16
As Favorite
36-50
74-55
As Underdog
44-32
0-0-9
Over/Under
0-0-7
6-4
Last 10 ATS
6-4
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
ATS Win%
0.5%
Avg spread: -0.1
Avg margin: +0.2

Scoring

5.07
R/G
4.73
5.03
RA/G
4.56

Injury Report

WSHMatt WaldronRP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
60-Day-IL
WSHOrlando RibaltaRP
15-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
WSHKen WaldichukRP
60-Day-IL
PITOneil CruzCF
Day-To-Day
PITMitch KellerSP
60-Day-IL
PITBraxton AshcraftSP
15-Day-IL
PITEsmerlyn ValdezRF
10-Day-IL
PITIsaac MattsonRP
15-Day-IL
PITEndy RodriguezC
60-Day-IL