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MLB Matchup

Nationals @ Rays

Sun, Jun 21 5:40 PMTropicana FieldMLB.TV
Final
WSH 3 - 4 TB
Box Score →

Odds

DraftKings
Run Line
WSH +1.5·TB -1.5
Moneyline
WSH +114·TB -137
Total
8.5
Nationals
Away
Nationals
62-71
34-35 road
W
L
L
L
L
Rays
Home
Rays
78-53
43-23 home
W
W
L
L
L

AI Analysis

LEANSoft lean — not a strong recommendation
Rays ML
-136· moderate risk
68%

Nick Martinez (6-2, 2.60 ERA) holds a significant pitching edge over Andrew Alvarez (1-0, 3.49 ERA) in a pitcher-friendly dome, and Tampa Bay's superior team ERA (3.92 vs 4.64) reinforces the home side's advantage.

View full analysis

Starting Pitchers

Andrew Alvarez
WSH
Andrew Alvarez
(2-5, 3.60)
3.60
ERA
Nick Martinez
TB
Nick Martinez
(13-4, 2.93)
2.93
ERA

Season Series — WSH 1 - TB 2

WSH 4-3 TB
Jun 21
WSH 4-3 TB
Jun 20
WSH 5-2 TB
Jun 19

Batting

0.249
#8
AVG
0.261
#1
0.756
#3
OPS
0.734
#6
184
#1
HR
136
#22
695
#1
R
591
#14
662
#1
RBI
562
#16
142
#1
SB
128
#4

Pitching

4.67
#27
ERA
3.81
#8
1.390
#26
WHIP
1.160
#2
1023
#24
K
1073
#19
470
#20
BB
330
#1
30
#27
QS
41
#19
33
#16
SV
52
#1

Bullpen & Advanced

7.8
#24
K/9
8.3
#19
0.257
#27
OPP AVG
0.232
#8
0.761
#27
OPP OPS
0.689
#8
67
#19
HLD
101
#1

Prediction Market

via Polymarket

ATS Records

76-57
Overall ATS
72-59
43-26
Away/Home ATS
36-30
14-11
As Favorite
50-47
62-46
As Underdog
22-12
0-0-8
Over/Under
0-0-5
5-5
Last 10 ATS
2-8
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: +0.9
Avg margin: +0.2
ATS Win%
0.6%
Avg spread: -0.7
Avg margin: +0.4

Scoring

5.23
R/G
4.51
5.08
RA/G
4.15
0.1
DIFF
0.3

Injury Report

WSHJosiah GraySP
60-Day-IL
WSHConnelly EarlySP
60-Day-IL
WSHJames WoodRF
10-Day-IL
WSHDJ HerzSP
60-Day-IL
WSHDrew MillasC
10-Day-IL
WSHRichard LoveladyRP
60-Day-IL
WSHPJ PoulinRP
60-Day-IL
WSHMitchell ParkerRP
60-Day-IL
TBGriffin JaxSP
15-Day-IL
TBCole SulserRP
15-Day-IL
TBEdwin UcetaRP
60-Day-IL
TBJake FraleyRF
60-Day-IL
TBGavin LuxLF
60-Day-IL
TBBen Williamson2B
10-Day-IL
TBJonathan HeasleyRP
60-Day-IL
TBRyan PepiotSP
60-Day-IL